There is a $53,530 carryover today for the Churchill Downs Pick 6. Here is our large and small ticket for those trying to hit it. Good luck!
Large Ticket
Race 4: 1,3,4,5
Race 5: 2,3,5
Race 6: 2,3
Race 7: 5,6
Race 8: 5,7
Race 9: 6,7,9
Cost: $576
Analysis: After looking over the card this looks like it has a chance to carryover, so playing this large of a ticket could be a waste. The fourth and fifth race seem extremely difficult. The sixth might have a single in Regal Nurse, but I don’t believe she is a lock by any means. Going two deep in the 7th is a huge risk, so if you think you can get by with a couple singles, you might add a few more in that one. Race 8 is fairly straight forward, and then the ninth is a MSW for two-year olds so who knows there.
Small Ticket
Race 4: 3,4
Race 5: 2,5
Race 6: 2,3
Race 7: 6
Race 8: 5,7
Race 9: 9
Cost: $32
Analysis: I think this is the more reasonable play, but the chances of hitting it go down quite a bit. My two singles in the 7th are risky, considering one is 6-1 on the morning line, and one is a unraced two-year old. Just playing a hunch that Asmussen will have the two-year old ready, and I like Motion on the turf. Like I said earlier, I think there is a chance of a carryover, so playing light may be the way to go.
