Below is an analysis on how we believe our free picks will do today. Lets cash some tickets!
Belmont Park
Best Bet: Race 9 – #9 Queen to Be
Best Value: Race 3 – #4 Miroc
Confidence: ** Stars
Value Opportunity: ** Stars
Analysis: This Belmont meet has been great for us all year, but today’s card is not one I’m in love with. The possibility of hitting winners is there, but the value is on the low side. If we can get lucky and hit a price in third race it will certainly make the day, but that horse is low on my list as far as confidence goes. Could be a day to stay away from Belmont.
Delaware Park
Best Bet: Race 8 – #8 Hello Prince
Best Value: Race 1 – #2 I’m Done
Confidence: ** Stars
Value Opportunity: *** Stars
Analysis: Closing day at Delaware provides us a decent amount of value with names we’re familiar with. The fields are full for the most part as well, so I would expect those morning line odds to hold true. Not completely confident in the selections but there is enough value you on the card to give it a go.
Delta Downs
Best Bet: Race 5 – #7 He’s So Proud
Best Value: Race 1 – #3 Heaven’s Cat
Confidence: *** Stars
Value Opportunity: *** Stars
Analysis: This card has a great blend of short prices and value play picks. The hope here is to build your bankroll in races 2,3, 4, and 5 with short prices, and then catch a price horse in the later stages of the card. The best value on the card is Heaven’s Cat in the first race, who has a good as shot as any in what looks to be a wide open scramble. Delta can often be hit or miss, but I wouldn’t be afraid to take a swing tonight.
Gulfstream Park West
Best Bet: Race 4 – #4 Little Baker
Best Value: Race 5 – #3 Farleys Mandate
Confidence: * Star
Value Opportunity: ** Stars
Analysis: It’s becoming frustrating because my track record at Calder (now Gulfstream West) has always been good, but I’m struggling early in the meet with finding a winning pattern. The picks certainly offer up some value for today, but I can’t give you a vote of confidence just yet. Proceed with caution.
Hawthorne
Best Bet: Race 9 – #5 Germaine’s Boy
Best Value: Race 2 – #7 Solar Flair
Confidence: * Stars
Value Opportunity: **** Stars
Analysis: Talk about a meet that has been anything but chalky! The value is here daily, and today seems to be no different. The problem has been finding those long shots consistently. It is currently our worst track percentage wise, but I do see us hitting a few today. Another I’d proceed with caution on, but I’m more confident here than I am at Gulfstream.
Indiana Grand
Best Bet: Race 9 – #6 Dreaming of Kitten
Best Value: Race 2 – #6 The One Thing
Confidence: **** Stars
Value Opportunity: * Stars
Analysis: If you like cashing tickets you need to be playing this track today. This looks like a very chalky day at Indiana, so value players beware! However, that chalk will slowly make you a profit.
Keeneland
Best Bet: Race 2 – #4 Three D
Best Value: Race 6 – #3 A Day in Paradise
Confidence: * Star
Value Opportunity: *** Stars
Analysis: We may not have any long shots selected, but there are nice mid range prices all over this card today. Keeneland had been a blessing to the Dudes this meet, after a disastrous Spring campaign. However, this is not a card that is favorable today compared to past days. The first four races will be critical on day I’m labeling as extremely hit or miss. Risky…
Laurel Park
Best Bet: Race 1 – #3 Love Who
Best Value: Race 4 – #7 Center on the Moon
Confidence: * Star
Value Opportunity: **** Stars
Analysis: Yet another I’d label as risky today. A lot of horses are running that we’ve had past success with, but they seem to be in tough races. The prices are there for the taking, so if you don’t mind being patient and playing value this could be the track for you to play today. You can’t give up on it though if you start off poorly.
Remington Park
Best Bet: Race 1 – #3 Light Striker
Best Value: Race 4 – #4 Flashy Sky
Confidence: **** Stars
Value Opportunity: ** Stars
Analysis: This card and Delta’s card are very similar. Both have short price “bank roll builders” that should win, and also have a few price horses sprinkled in that look like they have solid shots. Very playable card.
Woodbine
Best Bet: Race 7 – #3 Walkers Terrace
Best Value: Race 1 – #4 Divine Dance
Confidence: ** Stars
Value Opportunity: * Star
Analysis: It’s our inaugural year of covering Woodbine, and I’ll be the first to admit I’ve found it to be challenging at times. The synthetic surface can produce some strange results so it’s been a meet filled with adjustments. I’m becoming more confident each day, but today’s card is not one I’m thrilled about. Wednesday night cards are tough…
