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The Kentucky Derby (G1) is getting closer, which means that every handicapper is diligently searching for longshots who will help bring home a massive score. This year’s superfecta could pay stacks, so it’s critical to find the right longshots to spice up your payouts.
One great thing about betting the Kentucky Derby is that you frequently get better odds on horses than you would in any other race. Even if the favorite wins, the exotics will still pay because the large field size really spreads out the money being bet.
With that said, here are three longshot horses who could blow up the superfecta:
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Oh boy, Bob Baffert at a price in the Kentucky Derby? That sounds like a dream come true. Especially with this guy, who’s been one of the more consistent horses in the crop from both a performance and a speed figure perspective. After finishing second in the Sham Stakes (G3), he won the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3) before finishing second in both the San Felipe Stakes (G2) and the Santa Anita Derby (G1).
In each of those 4 races, his speed figures were within a couple points of each other, showing that he runs the same race every time. His Santa Anita Derby trip was less than ideal and may have cost him the race. Look for him to get ridden hard out of the gate in the Derby and be the one they have to pass when turning for home.
Rock Your World Rocks the Trail with Santa Anita Derby Victory
When talking about consistency, this horse has shown that he too runs the same race every time. He’s never finished outside the money while facing some of the best in the crop dating back to his 2-year-old season. He opened this season winning the Lecomte Stakes (G3), then finished third in the Risen Star Stakes (G2) and second in the Louisiana Derby (G2). Like Medina Spirit, his speed figures were similar in each effort and he has a solid running style that suits the Kentucky Derby. Our top two horses on this list are basically carbon copies of each other.
Kentucky Derby Contenders Pedigree Analysis: Midnight Bourbon
What if this horse has just gotten hot at the perfect time? He’s definitely the “now” horse after upsetting the Arkansas Derby (G1). His chances of actually winning might be slim, but he looks like a classic “hit the board at a big price” candidate. His recent performance showed that he should handle the added distance and his running style also suits the Kentucky Derby. He can pass a lot of tired runners in the stretch.
Kentucky Derby Contenders Pedigree Analysis: Super Stock
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