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With the Kentucky Derby (G1) less than 3 weeks away, I’m back for my second year of analyzing some of the top contenders’ pedigrees.
This week’s subject: Super Stock
Trained by Steve Asmussen, Super Stock is a late surprise to the Kentucky Derby picture but a welcomed one. He’s one of the more experienced runners in this year’s Kentucky Derby, going in with a career record of 8-2-2-2 and over $800,000 in earnings.
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Super Stock finished third overall in the Kentucky Derby point standings with 109 points. He earned 100 for upsetting Concert Tour in the Arkansas Derby (G1) at 12/1 odds in the second race of his 3-year-old season after finishing fourth in the Rebel Stakes (G2). Now that he’s defeated Concert Tour, who would’ve been the Kentucky Derby favorite if he’d won, where does Super Sock stack up against the rest of the Kentucky Derby contenders? Let’s first start with his pedigree.
Major career wins: 2011 Holy Bull Stakes (G3), 2011 Florida Derby (G1)
After winning the Holy Bull and Florida Derby, Dialed In was the post time favorite in the 2011 Kentucky Derby. Unfortunately, after a bad start, Dialed In only managed to finish eighth but finished an improved fourth in the Preakness Stakes (G1). Dialed In finished with a career record of 7-3-1-0 and just shy of $1 million earned. However, since becoming a stallion Dialed In, has not been known as one of the best, especially on the Kentucky Derby trail.
With a bloodline that includes A.P Indy, Mr. Prospector, and Storm Cat, Dialed In has all the makings to be a good stallion but thus far has had extremely limited graded stakes winners. Super Stock winning the Arkansas Derby is only the sixth different graded stakes winner sired by Dialed In and only the second Grade 1 winner (after Get Her Number).
As for Kentucky Derby starters, Dialed In has only had one prior starter: Gunnevera, who finished his career with a record of 21-6-5-3 and over $5.5 million in earnings, finished seventh at 10/1 in the 2017 Kentucky Derby. There’s a slim chance that Dialed In will also have his third starter in this year gate, as Get Her Number currently sits 26th in the Kentucky Derby point standings. However, Get Her Number will need several deflections from the current top 20 to make it into the starting gate.
Super Stock’s Arkansas Derby Win True Family Affair
Major career wins: None
Super Girlie finished her racing career with a record of 39-7-9-4, but 6 of her 7 wins came at the claiming level. She only attempted stakes company once, which resulted in a fourth-place finish in the 2010 Our Dear Peggy Stakes at Calder. While Super Girlie was not that super on the racetrack, her pedigree makes her an interesting broodmare.
Super Girlie is the daughter of Closing Argument, who finished second behind Giacomo in the 2005 Kentucky Derby, and while Closing Argument did not turn out to be a great stallion, his runner-up that day showed his bloodline’s potential. Additionally, her dam side’s bloodlines run through Mr. Prospector, a common denominator among this year’s Kentucky Derby contenders.
Super Girlie has had 4 winners from 5 foals, and while Super Stock is her only graded stakes winner, Bougie Girl – sired by Flashback – finished third in the 2018 Del Mar Debutante (G1). Additionally, 4 of her 5 foals were sold at auction, the lowest selling for $65,000 and the highest selling for $175,000. In 2020, Super Girlie bred to the 2018 UAE Derby (G2) winner Mendelssohn. Her bloodlines have produced several winners, and now with a Grade 1 foal on her resume, Super Girlie is a broodmare to keep an eye on going forward.
Overall, I think Super Stock should not be overlooked in the Kentucky Derby. In only the second start of his 3-year-old season, he defeated Concert Tour and Caddo River, both of whom were on most Kentucky Derby contender boards. With the Kentucky Derby being his third start of the form cycle, it’s very possible that we have yet to see the best from him, and based on his pedigree, the distance should be no issue. His running style of sitting a few lengths off the pace generally does well at the Kentucky Derby, and with his odds likely to be higher than 10/1, Super Stock should at least be considered in your exacta, trifecta, and superfecta wagers.
Let me know what you think!
Vinny Blond is a New York-based handicapper who is one half of Real Dynasty Picks. Follow him on Twitter @PicksByDynasty.
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