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While Week 4 was a wash. We went 3-3 on the Six pack and 3-2 on the Honorable mentions. That takes us to 15-7 for the year on the 6 Pack and 12-2 on the honorable mention plays through four weeks. Let’s see if we can rack up another positive week!
Alabama (-18.5) vs. Texas A&M
I’m going back to that old Alabama 1st half well. They are 13-0 in their last 13 1st halves and 28-5 over the last 33. The bookmakers have this one juiced up to -11.5 for the 1st half, but I am not sure Texas A&M can score. Colorado’s D held them in check and they are no Alabama. I like the 1Q and Game lines as well, but of the three options, I’ll take the 1st half over the other two.
The Bet – $110 to win $100 – Alabama -11.5 1H
Georgia (-15) vs. Auburn
Georgia just took Arkansas behind the woodshed while Auburn is coming off a good, and very lucky win, vs LSU. No offensive the Baton Rouge, but LSU’s defense is not good and it took some literal miracles from Bo Nix to be able to win that game. Georgia’s defense is the major league version of LSU single-A ball. I was tempted to play Under 6.5 1H and Under 14.5 Team Totals for Auburn since I would not be shocked if they get shut out. I’m just going to lay the points instead since I think Georgia is going to be able to score fairly easily.
The Bet – $110 to win $100 – Georgia -15
Denver (-1) vs Pittsburg
Is Big Ben playing vs a good defense? Cool, let’s fade him. Denver’s D should be able to shut down the offense from Pittsburg and Teddy Bridgewater is slated to return to action. That’s good enough for me to lay the points. Add the injury issues from Pittsburg at the Wide Receive position and this is an easy one to add to the six pack.
The Bet – $110 to win $100 – Denver -1
Buffalo vs. Kansas City (-3)
This should be an absolute shootout! Kansas City has only punted once in the last two weeks and seem to enjoy giving up points to the opposing team as well. They have given up AT LEAST 30 points in every game this year. I don’t see that trend ending here vs. one of the top offensive units that is going to be very, very hungry coming into Arrowhead after being bounced from the playoffs by this Chiefs team last year. I wouldn’t be surprised if KC wins, but I don’t see how Buffalo don’t get theirs.
The Bet – $110 to win $100 – Buffalo Team Total Over 27.5
San Francisco vs. Arizona (-5)
This is pretty simple; Arizona is at the absolute highest value they should be at all year. This pre-season line was Pick ‘Em and I just can’t see how Arizona, who beat LA in a letdown spot after ridding the struggle bus vs. Jacksonville, is that much better then we thought they were. I am expecting that we are going to see some gadget plays with Trey Lance getting his first start which should be effective vs. a Cards defense that isn’t that disciplined. Add in the fact that the Cardinals are weak against the run and that’s what the Trey Lance version of the 49ers will do best and this is a recipe for a cover if not an outright upset.
The Bet – $110 to win $100 – San Fran +5
We haven’t thrown one out there yet this season, but let’s take a BIG swing in a week where I think we can play a couple of games together to try to take down a monster return. I’m not going to run through the logic on all of these, but here’s the play!
The Bet – $100 Paylay
Iowa ML -125
North Carolina -17
Green Bay ML -160
To win – $2551.92
I used all my Honorable Mentions in the Parlay Party this week, but I may play a couple straight, like Iowa, North Carolina and Baltimore.
Let’s get it this weekend!
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