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TEAMS THAT HAVE PUNCHED THEIR TICKET INTO THE TOURNAMENT:
TEAMS ON THE BUBBLE AND THEIR CHANCES: 1. Memphis 80% if they get to the finals. 2. SMU 45% chance if they get to the finals.
LOCKS: Duke,North Carolina, Notre Dame, Miami,
NEED A WIN TO BE SAFE: Wake Forest
TEAMS WITH A CHANCE: Virginia and Virginia Tech. Both need to win the tournament, but if they get hot, this tournament can be won by an underdog.
ALMOST A LOCK: Davidson: The Wildcats need to make sure and avoid an upset in the first game.
BUBBLE TEAMS: 1. Dayton 22-9: The Flyers have made a late push and with a couple of more wins they could slip in 75% chance if they do that. 2. VCU 21-8: They are in the same boat as Dayton but if they get to the finals they will probably get in. Chances: 75%
LOCKS: Kansas, Baylor, Texas Tech, Texas
ALMOST A LOCK: Iowa State 20-11 and TCU 19-11- Both of these teams are probably in unless some upsets occur in other conferences.
LOCKS: Villanova, Providence, UConn, Marquette, Seton Hall, and Creighton
BUBBLE TEAM: Xavier 18-12: The Musketeers are only 8-11 in the conference and that will hurt their chances. They probably need to get to the championship game to warrant a chance.
LOCKS: Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State
BUBBLE TEAMS: Rutgers 18-12, Indiana 18-12, and Michigan 17-13: These three teams all have legitimate chances but they are going to have to get to the championship game to make a solid case.
LOCKS: Colorado State, Wyoming, Boise State, and San Diego State
LOCKS: Arizona, UCLA, and USC
MAYBE HAVE A CHANCE: Colorado 20-10: I really don’t think they have much a chance, but if they could get to the championship game, they would have 22 wins, and would have a win against one of the 3 big conference teams.
LOCKS: Auburn, Kentucky, Arkansas, Tennessee, LSU, and Alabama
MAYBE HAVE A CHANCE: Texas A&M 20-11, Florida 19-12: Both of these teams are going to have to make a deep run and pull off some upsets in the conference tournament.
LOCKS: Gonzaga, St.Mary’s
BUBBLE TEAMS: San Francisco 24-8, BYU 22-10: The Cougars chances took a huge hit when San Francisco beat them yesterday. So, they are hanging by a thread. San Fran is in good shape unless they get blown out tonight by Gonzaga.
CHAMPION: Murray State
CHAMPIONSHIP: Jacksonville vs. Bellarmine 3/8/22
Tournament continues tomorrow and Saturday
Delaware 20-12 vs. Towson 25-7
Charleston 17-14 vs. UNC-Wilmington 22-8
Wright State 19-13 at Cleveland State 20-9
Northern Kentucky 19-11 at IPFW 21-10
CHAMPION: Loyola Chicago
Championship game: Wagner 21-5 at Bryant 21-9 3/7/22
Navy 21-10 vs. Colgate 22-11 3/9/22
Championship game: Furman 22-11 vs. Chattanooga 26-7 3/7/22
South Dakota 19-11 vs. South Dakota State 28-4 3/7/22
Oral Roberts 19-11 vs. North Dakota State 22-9 3/7/22
Championship game: Louisiana 16-14 at Georgia State 17-10 3/7/22
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