Free Pick: Tennessee (8-3) at New England (7-4) 11/28/21

The Titans crashed and burned last week against Houston and showed that they are beginning to miss Derrick Henry. They are heading up to New England and going up against a Patriots’ team that is playing as well as anyone in the league. The Patriots are in first place in the AFC East and a win in this game will give them 6 straight victories. Let’s see what Vegas is thinking.

TOTAL TEAM TOTALS:

New England: 26 Total Team Points The Patriots are averaging 27 points per game and rookie quarterback, Mac Jones is improving and playing at a high level. They are going up against a Tennessee defense, that has been strong against the run and leaky against the pass. But 26 points is a little bit high for my taste. I will take the UNDER on New England scoring 26 team points.

Tennessee: 19.5 Total Team Points The Titans are averaging 27 points per game and 354 yards of total offense. They are without Derrick Henry and their offensive numbers are down since his injury. Another stat to look at is the New England defense. The Patriots have allowed a combined total of 13 points in their last three games, which is a remarkable stat. All signs point to Tennessee UNDER 19.5 team points.

OVER/UNDER 44.5 Combined Team Point Totals: Most people think this line is about right and I would agree. I’m thinking 24-17, 20-17, something in that range. I would take the UNDER.

POINT SPREAD: New England is a 6.5-point favorite This line is tricky and we wish it was a little lower. But, you don’t always get what you want. If the Patriots play as well as they have been, they should cover.

AARON’S PICK: New England -6.5

PAPA DUDES PICK: Tennessee UNDER 19.5 team points