Racing Dudes Thursday Betting Plan

Over the last few weeks we’ve had several comments, tweets, and emails asking if we could narrow down our picks to our top two or three selections, or who we really like compared to just who we are so-so about.  So today we’ve decided to try something new.  The “Racing Dudes Betting Plan” gives you all the horses we like on a given day, and suggestions on how to bet them.  So without further ado, here is the betting plan for this Thursdays action…

NOTE: The betting amounts posted are what I would personally use.  You may want to raise or lower the amounts suggested to better reflect the bankroll you will be working with.  Don’t bet the rent money!!

Aqueduct Race 3: #4 Appearance (1:18 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: The team of Taylor Rice and David Jacobson have been hot at Aqueduct, and this one ran a pretty solid second here last time out.  Could be a nice bankroll builder to start out the day.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $4.70, $2.50.  Total Profit: $92.50, ROI: 61.7%

Oaklawn Park Race 1: #1 Jungle Princess and #1A Maybelle Slew (1:30 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Two Richard horses here…hard to not take a shot with these two.  Even money would still be playable, but keep a close eye on the price.  With these powerful connections the odds could go down quickly.

RESULTS: Second.  Paid $2.20.  NO BET DUE TO LOW ODDS!!  Total Profit: $92.50, ROI: 61.7%

Aqueduct Race 6: #2 Very Cherry Candy (2:45 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Was third last time in his first try over the Aqueduct surface after winning the race before at Gulfstream.  Enters in a similar level today, and might be better equipped to handle the track.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $6.30, $3.30. Total Profit: $265, ROI: 88.3%

Golden Gate Race 1: #1 Quick Cenizas (2:45 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Russell Baze always wins the opener at Golden Gate!  All systems set on go here, but much like the Richard horses at Oaklawn, you have to worry somewhat about the odds.  Even money is playable, anything lower is dicey.

RESULTS: Second. Paid $3.00.  Total Profit: $265, ROI: 58.9%

Oaklawn Park Race 4: #2 Thingamajigger (2:52 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: It’s that time of year at Oaklawn where Asmussen makes his presence felt, and he has several live horses on the card.  This horse was a solid second last time out so we know he gets over the Oaklawn track ok.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $4.40, $2.80.  Total Profit: $365, ROI: 48.7%

Santa Anita Race 1: #3 Atta Boy Pete (3:00 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: He returns to Santa Anita today after running a terrible sixth at Golden Gate last time out.  This track seems to be to his liking and he’s back to the level he runs best at.  Hopefully that poor last race gives us a decent price.

RESULTS: Third. Paid $0. Total Profit: $215, ROI: 23.9%

Oaklawn Park Race 6: #10 Justa Runner (3:46 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: In this race is the highly anticipated 4-year-old debut of Big Lute, but Hobby isn’t great with horses off a long layoff so I do believe he’s beatable today.  Justa Runner looks like the right horse to beat him with, and should be a decent price.

RESULTS: Third. Paid $0. Total Profit: $65, ROI: 7.2%

Fair Grounds Race 6: #7 Ben’s Juliette (3:55 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: She’s in the capable hands of Brad Cox and has been knocking on the door lately.  This should be the right group for her to break through today.

RESULTS: Off the board. Paid $0. Total Profit: (-85), ROI: -8.1%

Fair Grounds Race 7: #3 Pistolpackinsenora (4:25 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Just a solid Louisiana runner who has solid connections.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $3.40, $2.80. Total Profit: (-10), ROI: -.8%

Santa Anita Race 4: #1 Winding Way (4:32 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Big time class dropper and Stevens stays on to ride.  That’s enough for me to take a shot.

RESULTS: Second. Paid $2.60. Total Profit (-30), ROI: -2.2%

Oaklawn Park Race 9: #7 Wizardly (5:10 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: He was ever so close last time out, and today should be the day.  However, another where the odds could drop too low…

RESULTS: Second. Paid $3.00. Total Profit: (-30), ROI: -2%

Fair Grounds Race 9: #1 Tight Britches (5:25 CT)

Suggested Bet: $20 Across the Board

Analysis: Winner of six straight races and morning line of 9/2??  This will be a jump up in class, but he’s worth an across the board wager today.  We’ll see if his Delta, Fair Meadows, and Will Rogers form can translate to Fair Grounds.

RESULTS: SCRATCHED. Total Profit: (-30), ROI: -2%

Delta Race 6: #6 Webster (7:30 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Field of ten here makes this one likely to be a decent price, and will also make for a bigger place payout if we’re lucky.  A lot of times a huge price comes in with favorites finishing second at Delta.  If that’s the case here, this wager will still be profitable.

RESULTS: Winner!! Paid $7.80, $4.40.  Total Profit: $235, ROI: 14.2%

Delta Race 9: #2 Little Face (8:51 CT)

Suggested Bet: Late pick 4 single:  TICKET: .50 cent pick 4:  2/5,6/1,2,3,5,6,7,8,9,10/3,4,6,9 = $36

Analysis: This one is very close to being the best bet of the day, and we could find some value in the other three races.  Since #2 Little Face is sure to be a short price in race 9 we can’t make money on him with straight wagers, so why not take a swing and pair him up with some price horses in the late pick four.

RESULTS: Single wins, but pick 4 does not cash.  Total Profit: $199, ROI: 11.8%