Check out all the latest podcasts including Blinkers Off and The Magic Mike Show
Check out all the big upcoming stakes races
In an age where everyone seems to dodge each other until the big race day arrives, how refreshing is this going to be on Saturday? We are merely days away from a showdown between the two top contenders for the Kentucky Derby, and it’s only April! Saturday’s Grade 1 Florida Derby is sure to have a small field, but to many that will be just fine as undefeated stars Nyquist and Mohaymen are set to square off in what could be an epic dual. Both horses have kept to their own paths leading up to this weekend’s big event, but thanks largely in part to a $1 million bonus awarded to the Florida Derby winner if the horse went through the Fasig-Tipton Florida Sale of two year olds in training we’ll get to see these two stars in the same starting gate before the first Sautrday in May.
Nyquist is the horse that qualifies for that bonus, and the bonus is the major reason he’ll leave his friendly confines of California and take a swing at the Grade 1 Florida Derby. This payday will match the payday he’d have for winning the Kentucky Derby so in many ways this race could be one of his most important. Sure, winning the Kentucky Derby will add a huge amount to his resume, but lets not forget that resume is already fairly hefty. After dominating his rivals in California as a two year old, Nyquist came into the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile as a soft favorite and won yet again. He easily and almost unanimously ended up winning Two Year Old Horse of the Year honors, and has since made his three year old debut a winning one in the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita.
While Nyquist received 255 of the Eclipse Award votes for Two Year Old Horse of the Year there happened to be one horse that received three. That horse was Mohaymen who like Nyquist was also brilliant as a two year old as he went three for three and won the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes to close out his season. The Remsen is the biggest stakes race in New York for two year olds late in the year, and with that win Mohaymen actually became the number one Kentucky Derby prospect on the majority of people’s lists. Again like Nyquist, Mohaymen has kept his undefeated record alive with wins as a three year old in both the Grade 2 Holy Bull and Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park.
So how can you separate these two horses and begin to break down who is going to win on Saturday? I believe, as always, there are two huge keys to winning these big stakes race: class and distance preference. Lets start with class. Who have these horses beaten?
Overall I’d give the slight edge in class to Nyquist, although it isn’t a wide gap one way or another. How about this mile and one eighth test facing them in the Florida Derby?
When it comes to distance it’s advantage Mohaymen.
Of course this is horses racing. Upsets happen every day and could obviously happen in this race. While most of the field will be defined as “fillers” and have no shot to win there is one horse that could pull off an upset. Fellowship, who is getting better with each race, is a lightly raced horse for Stanley Gold that could be improving. He ran solid enough in the Fountain of Youth to give his backers hope, and his recent workouts have been solid. He certainly fits the bill as a horse that could run a big one, and we all know Gold can be super tough at Gulfstream Park.
However, I will not get fancy with this race. It’s a two horse race for me between the two big stars, and I do believe they’ll put on a show for us this Saturday. For me the race comes down to one simple question: Can Nyquist (or any other Uncle Mo offspring) get the distance of a mile and one eighth and ultimately a mile and a quarter? I’m going to say no until they prove me otherwise. So with that being said it will be Mohaymen for this dude in the Grade 1 Florida Derby.
Aaron and Papa Dude are ready to roll with NFL… Read More
The Racing Dudes preview and give picks for Oaklawn Park’s… Read More
The Magic Mike Show guys preview & give their tickets… Read More
Aaron and Papa Dude are ready to roll with college… Read More
A winner in all 3 starts to date, Miss Code… Read More
Nothing Like You won the 2023 Starlet Stakes (G2) at… Read More
Vinny from Real Dynasty Picks gives his horse racing best… Read More
Let’s get another big Saturday of racing kicked off today!… Read More
Looking to cash in big?
Sign up for exclusive 10% discount on orders, plus be the first to access our daily free and premium horse racing picks, articles, podcasts, and more!