Betting Tips

Kentucky Derby Betting: Wisdom of Crowds Results

You spoke, we listened.  To recap, we used the idea of Wisdom of Crowds to select our bets.  The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations, published in 2004, is a book written by James Surowiecki about the aggregation of information in groups, resulting in decisions that, he argues, are often better than could have been made by any single member of the group.

We asked you to select your Kentucky Derby and Oaks winners and we would compile the results to come up with our “crowds” best bets for the Kentucky Derby.  The results are in, but let’s first take a look at the fields:

Kentucky Oaks (G1)

Free Past Performances

P# PP Horse A/S Med Jockey Wgt Trainer M/L
1 1 On Fire Baby (KY) 3/F LA J M Johnson 121 G G Hartlage 4/1
2 2 Grace Hall (KY) 3/F LA J Castellano 121 A W Dutrow 5/2
3 3 Summer Applause (KY) 3/F LA G K Gomez 121 W B Calhoun 15/1
4 4 Eden’s Moon (FL) 3/F LA M Garcia 121 B Baffert 12/1
5 5 Hard Not to Like (ON) 3/F LA R Albarado 121 G Cox 20/1
6 6 Broadway’s Alibi (KY) 3/F LA J R Velazquez 121 T A Pletcher 4/1
7 7 Sacristy (KY) 3/F LA M E Smith 121 W M Catalano 50/1
8 8 Jemima’s Pearl (KY) 3/F LA J Talamo 121 B Baffert 10/1
9 9 Believe You Can (KY) 3/F LA R Napravnik 121 J L Jones 10/1
10 10 And Why Not (KY) 3/F LA J R Leparoux 121 M R Matz 15/1
11 11 Karlovy Vary (KY) 3/F LA J Graham 121 G R Arnold, II 20/1
12 12 Colonial Empress (VA) 3/F LA C S Nakatani 121 D W Lukas 50/1
13 13 Amie’s Dini (KY) 3/F LA J K Court 121 R Moquett 10/1
14 14 Yara (FL) 3/F LA J L Castanon 121 J Garoffalo 30/1
Also Eligibles:
15 15 Oaks Lily (KY) 3/F LA R Bejarano 121 T A Hills 50/1

Kentucky Derby (G1)

Free Past Performances

P# PP Horse A/S Med Jockey Wgt Trainer M/L
1 1 Daddy Long Legs (KY) 3/C LA C O’Donoghue 126 A P O’Brien 30/1
2 2 Optimizer (KY) 3/C LA J K Court 126 D W Lukas 50/1
3 3 Take Charge Indy (KY) 3/C L C H Borel 126 P B Byrne 15/1
4 4 Union Rags (KY) 3/C LA J R Leparoux 126 M R Matz 9/2
5 5 Dullahan (KY) 3/C LA K J Desormeaux 126 D L Romans 8/1
6 6 Bodemeister (VA) 3/C LA M E Smith 126 B Baffert 4/1
7 7 Rousing Sermon (CA) 3/C LA J Lezcano 126 J Hollendorfer 50/1
8 8 Creative Cause (KY) 3/C L J Rosario 126 M Harrington 12/1
9 9 Trinniberg (KY) 3/C L W Martinez 126 B Parboo 50/1
10 10 Daddy Nose Best (KY) 3/C LA G K Gomez 126 S M Asmussen 15/1
11 11 Alpha (KY) 3/C LA R Maragh 126 K P McLaughlin 15/1
12 12 Prospective (KY) 3/C L L Contreras 126 M E Casse 30/1
13 13 Went the Day Well (NY) 3/C LA J R Velazquez 126 H G Motion 20/1
14 14 Hansen (KY) 3/C LA R A Dominguez 126 M J Maker 10/1
15 15 Gemologist (KY) 3/C LA J Castellano 126 T A Pletcher 6/1
16 16 El Padrino (KY) 3/C LA R Bejarano 126 T A Pletcher 20/1
17 17 Done Talking (KY) 3/C LA S Russell 126 H A Smith 50/1
18 18 Sabercat (KY) 3/C LA C S Nakatani 126 S M Asmussen 30/1
19 19 I’ll Have Another (KY) 3/C LA M Gutierrez 126 D F O’Neill 12/1
20 20 Liaison (KY) 3/C LA M Garcia 126 B Baffert 50/1
Also Eligibles:
21 21 My Adonis (KY) 3/C LA E Trujillo 126 K J Breen 50/1

And now on to the results:

Kentucky Oaks

1 On Fire Baby – 40%

2 Grace Hall – 18%

3 Summer Applause – 12%

12 Colonial Express – 12%

6 Broadway’s Alibi – 6%

5 Hard Not To Like – 6%

14 Yara – 6%

Kentucky Derby

6 Bodemeister – 30%

19 I’ll Have Another – 16%

8 Creative Cause – 12%

11 Alpha – 12%

3 Take Charge Indy – 6%

2 Optimizer – 6%

15 Gemologist – 6%

10 Daddy Nose Best – 6%

1 Daddy Long Legs – 6%

That’s right people…not one vote for Union Rags!

“Crowds” Bets

Win – 6 Bodemeister

Exacta – 6 / 19

Trifecta – 6 / 19 / 8,11

Superfecta – 6 / 19 / 8,11 / 1,2,3,10,15

Oaks/Derby Double – 1 On Fire Baby / 6 Bodemeister

These results are very interesting to say the least.  Singling Bodemeister may be a bit risky for some of you so be sure to box any of your exotics.  Having said that, he will be a single on my ticket.  We appreciate everyone’s votes and wish you good luck!

To Top