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Win – #9 King Henny
Exacta –Box 1,8,9
Trifecta –Box 1,7,8,9
Horses to use in the Pick 4 –1,7,8,9
Speed –#8 The Drifter, #9 King Henny
Stalkers –#1 Steeleman Run, #4 Detention, #6 Holiday Mischief, #7 Best of Birdstone
Closers –#2 Real Appeal Deal, #3 Backstreet Hero, #5 Excess Bling
#9 King Henny (KY) – He’s only a maiden winner, but I like the fact that he should be the controlling speed in this race. Last time out he set average fractions, and had no problem holding on to the lead as he won by one and a half lengths. Other than my top four selections I’m not high on much of anything else here so this looks like a nice spot for this one to land against winners for the first time.
#1 Steelman Run (KY) – No question he has ran the most visually impressive race of any of these, but that was on the turf. Can he carry that form to the dirt? He won on the dirt in his first career race, but it was only a maiden claimer and he didn’t show near the turn of foot that he did in his turf allowance win. An 8-1 morning line makes him a great play, and if he runs the same race he did last time he’ll win.
#8 The Drifter (LA) – Has won three of four life time races including the $75,000 Kip Deville Stakes here at Remington last time out. Certainly the most accomplished runner in the field, and you have to like the fact that he also has some early speed. If you like him you’ll have to take him at a short price, which is why I didn’t make him my top pick.
#7 Best of Birdstone (AR) – You don’t see an Arkansas bred horse with Birdstone as a sire very often! Best of Birdstone made his debut in the Razorback Futurity at Louisiana Downs, and did not disappoint as he won easily be almost three lengths. That was against Arkansas Bred company so it will be interesting to see how he does against open company here. However, as I already mentioned the depth of the field is not great so he should fit in pretty well.
#3 Backstreet Hero (KY) – If anyone can compete with the top four this is the one. His races haven’t been all that bad. With a small step up he could make some noise, and ruin some exotic bets.
#2 Real Appeal Deal (KY) – Finally broke his maiden last time out, and has some upside with Birzer coming back to ride. Still, he doesn’t look like a legit stakes horse to me.
#4 Detention (KY) – Very spotty form with this one…who really knows what he will do. At times he’s shown he wants the lead, and other times he doesn’t show much interest. Either way I don’t think he’s talented enough.
#6 Holiday Mischief (KY) – Broke his maiden last time out in just his second try, but you have to question how strong that field was. The second place horse returned in a maiden claimer and lost.
#5 Excess Bling (TX) – Had to drop to a maiden claimer to win his first race, and now shows up in a stakes. Very curious spotting for a horse that looks over-matched.
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