With the fields set for all 13 Breeders’ Cup Races to be held this weekend at Keeneland Race Track in Lexington, Kentucky, we are going to do a little handicapping and try to come up with a few winners. We will use an imaginary bankroll of $300 while noting this year’s fields are not very deep in talent, which might result in lower mutuals than those seen in recent years. Find those best betting strategies and make your betting profitable.
Friday, October 30
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
The Breeders’ Cup races start off with a wide-open event for 2-year-olds on turf. A good betting strategy is taking into consideration that the Euros usually dominate these baby turf races, but only one looks like a legitimate competitor. One of Europe’s top trainers, John Gosden, brings in #13 Cymric. While this post has proven lucky in the past, the tight turns at Keeneland might create a problem. Let’s lean towards Mark Casse’s #8 Airforce. The colt has shown good positional speed, draws well and has plenty of room for improvement after two impressive victories.
The Bet: $10 Daily Double #8 Air Force to #3 Liam’s Map
Las Vegas Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
When Appealing Tale scratched due to injury, Liam’s Map was left to assume the early lead without much pace pressure. After nearly winning two Grade I events (Whitney & Woodward) in wire to wire fashion, this one looks like a walk in the park at a very short price.
The Bet: $10 Daily Doubles #3 Liam’s Map to #3 Alice Springs/#4 Catch a Glimpse
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
The Euros look a little better in this one. Everyone needs to be concerned about Mark Casse’s #4 Catch a Glimpse getting an easy lead and taking this field on a merry chase. There isn’t much other speed signed on. However, Aiden O’Brien’s #3 Alice Springs is coming of a brilliant victory in the Tattersalls Million Trophy at Newmarket. While the race is technically listed as an allowance race, it is actually Europe’s premiere race for 2-year-old fillies, and she won it easy.
The Bet: $20 win on #3 Alice Springs, $10 Daily Double #3 Alice Springs to #7 Wedding Toast.
Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff
This is by far the deepest and most talented field in this year’s Breeders’ Cup. As many as seven horses have the credentials to win this one. However, one horse stands out on speed figures. #7 Wedding Toast has an improving pattern plus the two best Beyers produced over her last two races. Best of all, she is perfectly drawn and might be the speed of the speed. She has never run two turns, but it shouldn’t be a problem.
The Bet: $20 win on #7 Wedding Toast , $10 Distaff/Classic Daily Double #7 Wedding Toast to #13 Beholder
Saturday, October 31
14 Hands Winery Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Day number two start’s with the day’s best bet. #10 Songbird has the look of a very special filly. She trounced Bob Baffert’s best, Pretty and Cool, in the Grade I Del Mar Debutante and he opted to go East and win the Grade II $200,000 Matron at Belmont instead of entering here. She’s the lone speed and the presence of #9 Rachael’s Valentina should keep the price around 7-5.
The Bet: $40 win on #10 Songbird
TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Wide open race and great betting opportunity. As usual, there is plenty of speed signed onto this turf dash. Initially, favorite #5 Lady Shipman looks like the speed of the speed with the best speed figures to boot. However, she has never faced the boys and has never seen another horse that can run 21 flat and keep going. The race sets up for pace presser #12 Ready for Rye. Grade II winner on dirt is 2 for 2 in turf sprints and riding a three race win streak. The 10-1 morning line looks realistic.
The Bet: $20 win on #12 Ready for Rye, $1 Pick 3 #12 Ready for Rye to #2 Dame Dorothy/#14 Cavorting to #2 Sentiero Italia/#3 Legatissimo (IRE)/#6 Queen’s Jewel (GB)/#9 Miss France (IRE).
TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Ton of quality speed signed up here should set this race up for closers. The race comes down to #2 Dame Dorothy and #14 Cavorting. The latter is 5 for 5 sprinting and figures to go favored at around 3-1. She looked awesome winning the Grade I Test at this distance. #2 Dame Dorothy is a distance specialist winning 4 of 5 at this distance, including the Grade I Humana on Derby Day. Hard to separate.
The Bet: $10 Exacta Box #2 Dame Dorothy with Cavorting
Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf
Another wide open event where the Euros look strong. After five straight first or sends in Group 1 events, #3 Legatissimo (IRE) looks like the class. #9 Miss France also has the credentials, but four straight seconds deters. #13 Secret Gesture (GB) won the Grade I Beverly D at Arlington, but was DQ’d. The sneaky long shot is #6 Queen’s Jewel (GB). Her connections, Wertheimer & Frere/Freddie Head brought the great Goldikova here for three straight BC Mile victories (2008-2010). While she looks a bit off form, she has talent and might wake up at a big price here.
The Bet: $12 win on #6 Queen’s Jewel
TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint
With a ton of speed signed up here, the opening half will be around 44 flat. #8 Wild Dude is the only legitimate Grade I closer in the lineup. He seems best suited for the 6F distance while other contenders seem to favor 7F. He should come flying and catch all the speed for the money.
The Bet: $20 Win on Wild Dude, $10 Daily Double #8 Wild Dude to #3 Make Believe
Breeders’ Cup Mile
The North American contingent is horrible, leaving them at the mercy of the Euros. Defending champ #11 Karakontie (JPN) is back, but he doesn’t seem to have improved since his 3-year-old season. #9 Esoterique (IRE) has class and finished second to the world’s best miler Solow in the Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes. Either could win, but the horse that looks right is #3 Make Believe. After a 3.5 month layoff, this one returned in Group 1 Prix de la Foret and exploded to crush a strong field. He looks strong here for great connections, Fabre/Peslier.
The Bet: $20 Win on #3 Make Believe, $1 Pick 4 #3 Make Believe to #2 Riker/#3 Greenpoint Crusader/#9 Exaggerator/#10 Ralis/#13 Nyquist to #1 Golden Horn to #4 American Pharaoh/#10 Beholder
Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile
No Baffert or Pletcher entries here. Might be the worst batch of babies in Breeders’ Cup history. #2 Riker is 4 for 4 on the synthetics at Woodbine, but he beat good horses, is bred for dirt, and is one of only two speed horses in a field filled with deep closers. At 15-1, the price is right.
The Bet: $20 Win on #2 Riker
Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf
Not much to say here. Golden Horn is one of the three best horses in the world and the best on turf. There is nothing in this field that will get close and the price does not entice.
The Bet: NO BET
Breeders’ Cup Classic
Nice field of horses, but there is only two contenders, #4 American Pharaoh and #10 Beholder. #4 American Pharaoh became the first Triple Crown winner in 37 years. He was simply dominate from March through the early part of August. His only stumble came in the Grade I Travers when he found an unexpected pace pressure upfront and got a little leg weary as Keen Ice passed him late for the win. He has been working brilliantly since. The amazing mare #10 Beholder enters this race 5 for 5 on the season, having barely broken a sweat. Her devastating victory in the Grade I Pacific Classic was the best performance of the year for any horse and to think she was facing males and 1 1/4 miles for the first time. #4 American Pharaoh should get the lead with mild pressure from #10 Beholder. As they hit the far turn, these two will leave the rest behind. In the stretch, a legend will be born. While #10 Beholder has yet to win outside California and missed a couple days of training after a bumpy ride east, this handicapper is thinking she might be one of the true greats. #4 American Pharaoh is a champ, but he’s never faced older and never seen the likes of a horse like #10 Beholder. Trainer Mandela could have run her for easy money in the distaff, but he lands here and that says she can win. The final piece of the puzzle is the vision of that Pacific Classic.
The Bet: $30 win on #10 Beholder
This is racing’s premiere event. There will be plenty of places to find the best sport betting strategies that work. The information above should be the target of your betting strategies for the big day. For more information about betting systems that work check out http://www.simplythebetsus.com/