News Kentucky Derby 2024 Latest News & Top Contenders | It’s The Final Countdown April 25, 2024 Bath House Stakes (Tommy Land/Eclipse Sportswire/CSM) News Kentucky Derby 2024 Latest News & Top Contenders | It’s The Final Countdown April 25, 2024 By: Aaron Halterman twitterfacebooklinkedinemail Share: share on facebook share on twitter share on linkedin email this article Aaron discusses the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby (G1) news, then gives his updated top rankings. Which horses are on the rise? Whose stocks are falling? Leave YOUR Kentucky Derby rankings in the Comments! SMASH THE *THUMBS UP* ~ HIT *SUBSCRIBE* ~ RING THE *NOTIFICATION* BELL Visit our Kentucky Derby page for the latest news, rankings, prep race schedules, the Kentucky Derby point standings, and much more! 1. Fierceness Pros: 110 Beyer is top amongst this group; no doubt the most talented horse in the crop Cons: Incredibly inconsistent Outlook: He put up another head-scratcher in the Holy Bull Stakes (G3), then rebounded with a breathtaking Florida Derby (G1) win. Which Fierceness will show up in the Kentucky Derby? That’s the only question mark. 2. Sierra Leone Pros: Tremendous turn of foot; has lots of room to improve; winner of two straight preps Cons: Running style could be troubling Outlook: He backed up his Risen Star Stakes (G2) victory with another impressive win in the Blue Grass Stakes (G1). He’s getting better with each start for Chad Brown, who has his best chance yet to win the Kentucky Derby. 3. Catching Freedom Pros: Seemed to improve in his last race; great connections Cons: Running style is going to be a problem Outlook: His Louisiana Derby (G2) victory was very impressive considering he was last up the back side. He’ll need to get better positioning in the Kentucky Derby, but he’s established himself as a prime contender. 4. Forever Young Pros: Undefeated with 5 straight impressive victories Cons: International horses are always a mystery Outlook: This horse’s hype is massive. He ran well enough to get the job done last time out in the UAE Derby (G2) and remain undefeated. The international horses are always a mystery, though, so we’ll see if he’s finally the one to break the mold. 5. Honor Marie Pros: Improved greatly in his second start; has a stakes win a Churchill Downs Cons: Had every chance to win the Louisiana Derby (G2) but got out-kicked Outlook: After a poor run in the Risen Star Stakes (G2), this horse improved in a major way in the Louisiana Derby, finishing second to Catching Freedom. The Kentucky Derby will be his third race off of the layoff, which should lead to his best effort on the biggest day of his career. 6. Just a Touch Pros: Continues to improve; look good stretching out in distance Cons: Lightly raced; was defeated cleanly in the Blue Grass Stakes (G1) Outlook: This horse is getting better with each start and has never finished worse than second in all three career races. His running style is favorable as well, which will be a big help in a 20-horse field. 7. Encino Pros: Three straight solid wins; improving with each start; improved on the dirt Cons: Quick turnaround to run in the Derby; connections are on the fence Outlook: He looked great in his dirt debut, winning the Lexington Stakes (G3) in solid fashion. His connections are on the fence when it comes to running in the Kentucky Derby, but he’s earned his way into the field with back-to-back stakes victories. 8. Endlessly Pros: Rapidly improving for a solid trainer Cons: Dirt is a major question mark Outlook: This horse’s next start is in limbo. At first, he was heading back to the turf, but there’s now talk that he could run in the Kentucky Derby. If he takes to the dirt, then he’ll have a chance, but he might be a better threat on grass. 9. Stronghold Pros: Impressive wins in the Sunland Derby (G3) & Santa Anita Derby (G1) Cons: Numbers are still pretty slow Outlook: His Sunland Derby win was solid, but he really stamped himself as a contender when winning the Santa Anita Derby. He’s gotten better with each start this season, which is good to see, but he still needs a step up from a speed figure standpoint to have a chance. 10. Just Steel Pros: Consistent; plenty of experience Cons: Speed figures our low; lacks finishing kick; hasn’t been closing to winning a prep Outlook: D. Wayne Lukas is back in the Kentucky Derby after this horse finished second in 3 of the 4 Oaklawn Park prep races. He’s a prime candidate to hit the board, but he must improve a bit if he wants to win the race. 11. Dornoch Pros: Solid foundation; multiple graded stakes winner Cons: Still seems a bit green and needs to figure things out Outlook: We didn’t learn much in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) after all of the scratches, but we did learn that he can’t set off the pace and win, as he finished off the board in the Blue Grass Stakes (G1). At this point, you probably just need to send him to the lead in the Kentucky Derby and hope for the best. 12. Resilience Pros: Seems to be improving Cons: Numbers are low Outlook: This horse could be developing at the right time to make an impact in this race. Two starts back, he was a solid fourth in the Risen Star Stakes (G2) – a race that has had three next-out winners – and his Wood Memorial Stakes (G2) win was pretty impressive. 13. Domestic Product Pros: Determined win in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) Cons: Numbers are low Outlook: You have to give him credit for closing into a slow pace and winning the Tampa Bay Derby. While the time was slow and the speed figures came back light, at least he seems to be getting better with each start. 14. Mystik Dan Pros: 101 Beyer for winning the Southwest Stakes (G3) Cons: Inconsistent; best race was in the slop Outlook: His Southwest Stakes win was among the most impressive that we saw from any Kentucky Derby-eligible horses this year. However, he couldn’t replicate it in the Arkansas Derby (G1), where he finished third. He’s a nice horse, but he may need the slop to reach an elite level. 15. Track Phantom Pros: Solid running style; good connections Cons: Numbers are consistently low Outlook: This horse is almost like a robot at this point. He basically runs the same race every time, which is good, but not great. I love his running style and the way he goes about his business, but he’s just not fast enough when the real running begins. 16. West Saratoga Pros: Great story; solid experience; has a win at Churchill Downs Cons: Doesn’t seem to be fast enough; hasn’t threatened to win this year Outlook: This horse’s connections have a great story. From a speed figure standpoint, he looks a tad slow, but weird things can happen in this race. 17. Catalytic Pros: Seems to be improving with each race Cons: Lightly raced; speed figures are low Outlook: He earned his way here with a second-place effort in the Florida Derby (G1), though he was a mile behind the winner. He’ll need to show major improvement to have a chance. 18. Society Man Pros: Solid second in his last race Cons: Hadn’t shown much until last start; numbers are low Outlook: It’s a nice story to see this horse going into the Kentucky Derby after running second at 99/1 in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G2). We’ll see if the story can continue in the big one. 19. Grand Mo the First Pros: Back to back third place efforts in prep races Cons: Low figures; distant third in the Florida Derby (G1) Outlook: This is another horse with a nice story who earned his way into the race. However, he needs to improve his speed figures mightily to make an impact in this race. 20. T O Password Pros: Recent win in the Fukuryu Stakes Cons: We don’t know much about him Outlook: This rule really needs to be changed. He “earned” his way here by winning the biggest prep race in Japan, which gives him an automatic spot in the Kentucky Derby. This is unfair because it keeps out a more deserving horse that has been running in the United States. Kentucky Derby & Kentucky Oaks 2024 Betting Bible Get the 2024 Kentucky Derby & Kentucky Oaks Betting Bible, featuring our EXACT race-by-race wagering plans for both Kentucky Oaks Day on May 3 & Kentucky Derby Day on May 4 at Churchill Downs! DOWNLOAD NOW! 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