Free NFL Picks: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs 1/23/22

AFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF: 5:30 SUNDAY 1/23/22

This is the final game of the weekend and a lot of people think this one might be the best of the four games. The Bills have won 5 straight and are coming off a 47-17 beatdown over New England. They had been a disappointment until righting the ship and finishing on a roll. Meanwhile, Kansas City stumbled to a surprising 3-4 start but rebounded and have won 9 of their last 10. So, we have 2 red-hot teams going at it in Arrowhead to see who will advance to the AFC Championship game. Let’s see what there is to bet.

WHO HAS THE EDGE:

• Quarterback:
• Buffalo: Josh Allen 65% Completion Rate, 4,718 yards, 41 Touchdowns,15 Interceptions
• Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes 67% Completion Rate, 5,243 yards, 42 Touchdowns, 14 Interceptions
• THE EDGE GOES TO KANSAS CITY

• Running Back:
• Buffalo: Devin Singletary 951 yards, 4.6 yds. per carry, 9 touchdowns
• Kansas City: Darrel Williams 562 yards, 3.9 yds. per carry, 6 touchdowns
• EDGE GOES TO BUFFALO

• Receivers:
• Buffalo: Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and Dawson Knox (243 catches for 2,673 yards and 27 touchdowns).
• Kansas City: Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Mecole Hardman (276 catches for 3,263 yards and 22 touchdowns).
• EDGE GOES TO KANSAS CITY

• Offensive Line:
• Buffalo: 130 yards rushing per game, allowed 27 sacks
• Kansas City: 115 yards rushing per game, allowed 31 sacks
• SLIGHT ADVANTAGE GOES TO BUFFALO

• Defense:
• Buffalo: Allowed 17 points and 272 total yards per game. Had 45 sacks and 21 interceptions. Held opponents under 20 points eleven times.
• Kansas City: Allowed 21 points and 368 total yards per game. Had 33 sacks and 15 interceptions. Held opponents under 20 points eight times.
• ADVANTAGE TO BUFFALO

TOTAL TEAM POINTS:

Buffalo: 27 Total Team Points The Bills are averaging 28 points per game and torched the Patriots for 47 last week. Josh Allen can beat you with his arm and his feet and his scrambling ability must be contained. That will be a key for the Chiefs’ defense. Allen has good receivers and is playing with a ton of confidence. He also has the experience of playing in Arrowhead with everything on the line. The Chiefs have played better on defense in the 2nd half of the season and the pressure is on them. I’m taking Buffalo UNDER 27 Total Team Points

Kansas City: 28.5 Total Team Points The Chiefs offensive prowess is scary anytime they hit the field. If it a waste of time to list all of their statistics because everyone knows them. Buffalo has a great defense and they will bring the heat to Mahomes. But, can they keep him under control and limit the big play. I like Kansas City UNDER 28 points.

OVER/UNDER 54.5 Total Combined Team Points I took the UNDER on both team’s totals so I’m taking the UNDER on combined team points.

POINT SPREAD: Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite This game has classic written all over it. Probably the two best teams in the AFC going at it in this one. The spread is easy to bet. Take whichever team you like because more than likely they are going to cover. We can’t go against Mahomes.

DUDES WHO BET SPORTS: Kansas City -1.5