News Belmont Stars and Stripes Day Preview July 3, 2014 News Belmont Stars and Stripes Day Preview July 3, 2014 By: Aaron Halterman twitterfacebooklinkedinemail Share: share on facebook share on twitter share on linkedin email this article Belmont Derby Invitational (Grade 1) The Pick: #4 Adelaide The Longshot:#6 Dance With Fate Race Analysis: #1 Toast of New York – Definitely should be the favorite and could be a total freak. Only question mark is how well he will ship. #2 Sheldon – In WAAAAY over his head. #3 Bobby’s Kitten – He’s back to doing what he loves, now can he beat the big boys in a Grade 1? Toughest challenge of his career… #4 Adelaide – Any horse O’Brien brings here is dangerous, especially one with this kind of talent. #5 Flamboyant – Has ran decent in two ungraded stakes here in the states, but this is a whole other ball game. #6 Dance With Fate – This is what his trainer wanted to do with him all along: Run on turf! Think he has a monster chance today. #7 Gailo Chop – Winner of five races in seven tries overseas…need we say more? Serious contender. #8 Pornichet – Another European invaded, although this one doesn’t have as strong of a resume as the others. However, still very dangerous #9 Mr. Speaker – In a normal U.S. turf stakes field he’d have a big shot…today maybe not so much. #10 Global View – He’s bred for races like this, but might not be good enough for this tough spot. Will take his best effort. #11 Gala Award – Has been great on the turf, but this is definitely a major step up. Not sure he’s ready to handle it, but wouldn’t be a total shock. Belmont Oaks Invitational (Grade 1) The Pick:#7 Xcellence The Longshot:#3 My Conquestadory Race Analysis: #1 Goldy Espony – As always European shippers are dangerous, and she’s in the right hands to make a huge impact in this race. #2 Room Service – Back to back Grade 1 winner could be America’s best hope in this one. #3 My Conquestadory – Not at all concerned with her second place effort in her return to the races. Think that prep set her up nicely for this one. #4 Summer Solo – She’s a perfect three for three, but this is a hell of a spot for her first try against stakes company. #5 Flying Jib – Has won three straight races overseas…could be a beast. #6 Rosalind – Might fit into this race fairly well, although I don’t think she’s fast enough to win. Maybe gets a piece of it with a top effort. #7 Xcellence – Ran third two straight times against tough fields…this might actually be a class drop for her which makes her the most likely to win in my opinion. #8 Wonderfully – Maybe the only Euro shipper of the day that doesn’t look to be good enough. #9 Minorette – Came to the U.S. with a light resume and hasn’t done much since getting here. Looks overmatched. #10 Recepta – Nice horse…tough spot #11 Sea Queen – Winner of two in row is heading in the right direction. With another improvement she could end up making some noise. Suburban Handicap (Grade 2) The Pick:#5 Last Gunfighter The Longshot:#10 Mylute Race Analysis: #1 Micromanage – After an up and down 2013, this horse is coming into his own this year. Wouldn’t be shocking at all to see him win. #2 Ever Rider – Always runs solid races, just usually falls a bit short. #3 Zivo – Great test for a New York bred that doesn’t know how to lose. His best effort might be good enough here. #4 Norumbega – Won the mile and a half Brooklyn last time out, so we know distance won’t be an issue. Could just be a marathon specialist though. #5 Last Gunfighter – Quietly goes about his business in a workman like effort. With no true “super stars” in the field I think he grinds out a victory. #6 Romansh – Solid effort in the Met Mile against way tougher than he’ll face today. Has every chance to win. #7 Prayer for Relief – Can sometimes jump up and run a surprising race…older horse just keeps on bringing it. #8 Stormin Monarcho – Giant allowance wins at Delaware, but the waters get deeper today. #9 Vyjack – Why run him 10 furlongs?? Don’t understand why he’s running in this spot. #10 Mylute – He’s struggling to recapture his three year old form, but his fourth place Stephen Foster effort might be better than it looked. #11 Moreno – Your guess is as good as mine… Belmont Sprint Championship Stakes (Grade 3) The Pick:#2 Central Banker The Longshot:#7 Salutos Amigos Race Analysis: #1 Declan’s Warrior – The distance looks right for him, but is he good enough? Having trouble finding his form in 2014. #2 Central Banker – If he repeats his Churchill Downs Stakes effort he’s clearly the best. #3 Clearly Now – Always seems to be close to breaking through with a big win, but just can’t get there. Play underneath. #4 Moonlight Song – Had been cleaning up in smaller races, but this class jump is just too much for him. #5 Dads Caps – Pulled off the upset two races back in the Carter, but struggled in the True North next time out. Think he runs better here, but not expecting win. #6 Mezzano – Has been running at the smaller venues lately, but his best race gives him a shot to hit the board. #7 Salutos Amigos – Since the trainer switch this one has ran extremely well. Was third in the True North last time out, but should improve off that effort. #8 Big Screen – Odd spot for a horse that made his 2014 debut on turf. He can dirt too…but not at this level. #9 Palace – Winner of the True North looks for a nice double here, but is seven furlongs a touch long? His past performances suggests it might be. Dwyer Stakes (Grade 3) The Pick:#5 Tiz Dark The Longshot:#3 Ulanbator Race Analysis: #1 Kid Cruz – Trying graded stakes company again, and this is a much easier spot than his last try. Should have every chance to win. #2 Spot – Had a big win in the Swale, but not much since. Stretching out again here…not sure if that’s the best thing. #3 Ulanbator – Ran an impressive second to Tapiture last time out, and this race doesn’t look to be all that tough. #4 Captain Serious – Has won three straight races in a row, but they’ve been against stakes bred company…is he ready for a big class test? #5 Tiz Dark – Huge Belmont maiden winner last time out, think he wheels back here and makes it two in a row. #6 Gaining Ground – Was rolling along pretty good before getting beaten badly in the Calder Derby. Odd place for him to show up…
Kentucky Downs and Del Mar Picks & Previews | Blinkers Off 683 The Racing Dudes preview and give picks for this weekend’s… Read More
Kentucky Downs Pick 5 Preview | The Magic Mike Show 565 The Magic Mike Show guys preview & give their tickets… Read More
College Football Picks & NFL Tips | Dudes Who Bet Sports 205 Aaron & Papa Dude give their College Football picks for… Read More
Pacific Classic 2024 Picks and Rapid-Fire | Blinkers Off 682 The Racing Dudes preview and give picks for Saturday’s $1… Read More
Del Mar Pick 5 Preview | The Magic Mike Show 564 The Magic Mike Show guys preview & give their tickets… Read More
Kentucky Downs Picks | Turf Sprint Stakes 2024 [Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint] Aaron previews the 2024 Turf Sprint Stakes (G2) at Kentucky… Read More
Kentucky Downs FREE Win Picks | September 7, 2024 Get our FREE win picks at Kentucky Downs on September… Read More
Del Mar FREE Win Picks | September 7, 2024 Get our FREE win picks at Del Mar Thoroughbred Club… Read More
Kentucky Downs Exacta Picks & Plays | Turf Cup Stakes 2024 [Breeders’ Cup Turf] Dr. Miranda gives her exacta picks & plays from the… Read More
Rocket Picks 🚀: Del Mar, Kentucky Downs, & Gulfstream Park for September 7, 2024 Let’s kick off another big day of horse racing with… Read More