Podcast Final Kentucky Derby 2025 Prep Picks: Blue Grass Stakes, Wood Memorial, and Santa Anita Derby | Blinkers Off 713
Handicapping Game-Changing Feature Added to BETMIX January 20, 2015 Handicapping Game-Changing Feature Added to BETMIX January 20, 2015 By: Jared Welch twitterfacebooklinkedinemail Share: share on facebook share on twitter share on linkedin email this article Accuracy – What a sweet new feature this is! This number tells you how accurate the factor was. A perfect score in accuracy would be 100 and that would mean that in every race, that factor had correctly predicted the top 4 finishers in order. The more accurate a factor is (higher accuracy number) the more times you are likely to find the exacta, trifecta and superfecta in the top 4 horses. Factors with high accuracy scores should be used if you are making exotic bets. Factors with High Win%, High Accuracy and positive ROI are extremely important. Win ROI – This shows you what you would have won or losy if you bet every top ranked horse for a factor to win. In the example above, if you would have bet $2 to win on every horse ranked highest for Trainer Current Meet you would have made a profit of $26.00. Many times you will see that a factor with a very high positive ROI has a low win %. This will tell you that the factor has produced some longshot winners. Over a 40 races, it may have only predicted 15% winners, but each of them may have been high odds horses that resulted in big win payouts. Conversely, low ROI and High Win % would indicate a lot of short priced winners (favorites). Place ROI – This shows you what you would have won or lost if you bet every top ranked horse for a factor to place. Show ROI – This shows you what you would have won or lost if you bet every top ranked horse for a factor to show. Advantage – Abbreviated as ADV. This shows you the point difference between the top ranked horse and the 2nd ranked horse for that factor. If the ADV is 0.0 that means that there is a tie and the top 2 horses have the same score for that factor. Advantage is very useful to spot dominant horses. Sometimes you will see and advantage of 100, which means that the top ranked horse for that factor may be the only horse in the race with data. Maybe only one horse has started on turf, so he will have advantages of 100 in Turf Speed and Turf Earnings. That may not be a useful advantage in a dirt race. Big advantages in pace factors, especially if those factors also have high win, ROI and accuracy scores, should never be ignored.
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