Breeders’ Cup 2016: It’s All About the Singles

Everyone will be looking to play the Pick 4’s, 5’s, and 6’s during the Breeders’ Cup.  The fact is you almost have to play them as the pools are absolutely massive.  Even a sequence involving multiple favorites winning can end up paying big bucks.  The key to the multi race bet is finding the right single, and spreading in the other races to give you as much coverage as your bankroll can afford.  This year at the Breeders’ Cup I see three singles:

Logical Singles

– Dortmund – Takes a big time class plunge after running against California Chrome three straight times.  The cutback in distance will do him a world of good, especially with this being a two turn mile opposed to a one turn mile.  The competition doesn’t look to be up to his caliber either as he towers over most of the field.  The only real potential problem could come from Runhappy, but we just don’t know what we’ll see from him.  However, with Dortmund you can have full confidence that he’ll be fit and ready for a big race.

– California Chrome – First of all you can forget about anyone in the field not named Arrogate giving him any kind of trouble.  He is a mile better than everyone but him, and he’s proven that over and over again.  It is a fact that Arrogate has ran the fastest race of the bunch, but that’s not to say California Chrome can’t run just as fast as he’s been well in hand in his last two races and has run extremely fast.  His class edge over Arrogate is of course very large as well.  Hard to see Chrome losing unless he runs a poor race.

Under the Radar Single

– La Coronel – I’ve seen this horse picked to win by a lot of people, but nobody has come out and said they are singling her.  With her running on Friday in the late pick four that also contains Dortmund it could make your Pick 4 ticket extremely affordable.  While a Pick 4 with La Coronel and Dortmund winning may not pay a ton it still could turn out ok as the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf could be a race in which a big price wins.  You also have the Distaff where Stellar Wind could win as the third choice perhaps.  If you want to keep it cheap on Friday she makes sense.

Also a key to the multi race bet is beating a short price or a horse that most people will single.  If you can do this you can eliminate half of your competition in a single race.  Many forget that knocking your competition out is the object of the game…everyone is playing against each other!  Here is the horse you might want to have on your ticket…but not as a single.  Go deep and hope you can beat him:

Single to beat

– Lord Nelson – For weeks I viewed Lord Nelson as a nice single, but based on many forms of speed figures that just doesn’t look to be the case.  I readily admit that speed figures don’t tell the whole story, but you hate to single a horse that isn’t a standout in that area, or at the very least holds a slight advantage.  In this case, Lord Nelson’s best figure ranks around 4th or 5th in a field of 9 depending on what figures you use.  He’s been mentioned as a single by many so he is a perfect horse to play against in the multi race wagers.