We have an AFC South matchup that will determine first place in the division when the Tennessee Titans meet the Indianapolis Colts. Tennessee enters this contest coming off of a 30-24 overtime home win over the Baltimore Ravens and the Colts are riding a two-game winning streak with a 34-31 overtime road victory over the Green Bay Packers.
Titans Overtime Win Over BaltimoreTennessee is a 7-3 team that enters this matchup hoping to leave Lucas Oil Stadium with a win and sole possession of first place in the AFC South. They’ve won just two of their last five games and have scored just 20 points or more in three of those five games. The Titans lost to the Colts 34-17 just two weeks ago so they are very familiar with Indianapolis.
Ryan Tannehill seems to have found new life in Tennessee and has thrown for 2387 yards with 22 touchdowns and four interceptions. Tannehill threw for just 147 yards and a touchdown in their loss to Indianapolis. Corey Davis, A.J. Brown, and Jonnu Smith are the primary passing targets and they’ve combined for 17 touchdowns. They face a Colts defense that dominated them in their last meeting and allowed 301 yards to Aaron Rodgers in their win last Sunday over Green Bay. Brown is listed as questionable for this contest.
Running back Derrick Henry has been phenomenal this season, rushing for 1079 yards with nine touchdowns on 229 attempts. Tannehill has a couple of rushing touchdowns this season and they face a Colts defense that allowed Henry 103 rushing yards and 66 yards to the Packers last week.
The Titans defense is twenty-fourth in total yards allowed and also allows an average of 25.9 points per game. Over their last five contests, Tennessee has allowed 133 points over their last five games. They face a Colts offense ranked thirteenth in total yards per game and have scored 150 points over their previous five games.
Colts Two Game Winning StreakIndianapolis enters this matchup riding a two-game winning streak and has won four of their last five games. They went in and won against the Packers in Lambeau last Sunday and that was a huge win for them. They’ve scored 31 or more points in four of their last five and have looked very good on both sides of the ball over their past five contests.
Philip Rivers has thrown for 2683 yards with 14 touchdowns and eight interceptions and just three interceptions over his last five games. He threw for 308 yards with a touchdown in his last meeting with the Titans. Rivers primary targets are Zach Pascal, T.Y. Hilton, and Moe Allie-Cox who’ve combined for five touchdowns, and running back NyHeim Hines has four touchdown receptions. They face a Titans defense that allowed 308 yards two weeks ago to the Colts and 177 to the Ravens last week.
The Colts have a backfield by committee and Jonathon Taylor leads the way with 518 yards with four touchdowns. Hines has a pair of touchdowns and Jordan Wilkins has a touchdown with 271 rushing yards. They face a Titans defense allowing 129 yards last week to Baltimore and 133 against the Colts two weeks ago.
Indianapolis allows the second-fewest total yards of offense this season and allows an average of 20.8 points per game. They stuffed the Titans in their previous meeting and have allowed 120 points over their last five games. The Titans offense ranks tenth in total yards per game and has scored 115 points over their past five games.
Stats & Trends
- Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up win.
- Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Colts are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Colts are three-point home favorites and I think this is a good number for this game. Rivers has been good and he has a couple of weapons at his disposal that the Titans defense will have a tough time stopping. Henry is going to get his yards but it will be up to Tannehill to deliver the goods and this Colts defense is too tough for him. I will lay the points and take the Colts to cover the spread.