Two slumping AFC teams will take the field Sunday afternoon at 1 p.m. Eastern Standard Time as the Tennessee Titans travel to M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland, to battle the Baltimore Ravens. The Titans have dropped two of their last three contests, with their last being a 34 - 17 defeat at home versus the Indianapolis Colts last weekend as one point underdogs. It should be mentioned that the Colts are 1-3 against the spread in their last four games while going just 3 – 6 ATS in 2020. The Ravens also enter this game on a skid in dropping two of their last three with New England Patriots picking up a home win over the Ravens in their last contest Monday night as seven point favorites. Like Tennessee, Baltimore is just 1-3 against the spread in their last four games while going 4-5 against the number this season.
Tennessee has picked up outright wins on the road versus Baltimore in two of their last three meetings at M&T Bank Stadium in addition to covering the spread in two of these contests. The last meeting in Baltimore occurred in January of 2020 as the Titans were able to pick up a 28-12 win as ten point underdogs, which saw the Titans reach the AFC championship game. Important to note that the Titans were able to pick up a win in this contest despite allowing 530 yards total to the Ravens (compared to 300 for the Tennessee).
Currently, the Ravens are favored in this contest by 5.5, down from 6.5 points at the opening, while the total currently stands at 49.5 points, which is up from 47 points at the opening .
Titans desperately need a winOffensive production for the Tennessee Titans have begun to slowly decrease at the worst time, as the team is heading into a critical point in their 2020 campaign. Ryan Tannehill and the passing attack ranks 24th in the NFL in posting 225 yards in the air per game with A. J. Brown currently leading the Titans and reception yardage this season with 478, however Corey Davis has attempted to make strides in order to make up for lost production due to the injury of wide receiver Adam Humphries, who is questionable for this contest with a concussion and is in danger of missing his fourth straight game.
It should be noted that Ryan Tannehill has not been overly efficient in the pocket for Tennessee this season as he is completing just 65% of his passes. However, in the last four games, where Tennessee compiled a record of just 1-3, the quarterback completed less than 60% of his passes, despite posting seven touchdowns alongside one interception during this time. Tannehill will now face a defense for the Ravens that is ranked 7th in the league in allowing just over two hundred yards passing per game . Important to note that the Titans passed for only 83 yards in their last meeting versus the Ravens in January while running back Derrick Henry was a beast in rushing 30 times for 195 yards in addition to throwing a 3 yard touchdown pass.
The offensive line has consistently been injured throughout the season for Tennessee, however, as tackle Dennis Kelly, center Ben Jones, along with guard Rodger Saffold III all being questionable for this contest with various injuries. This has not seemed to affect the running game, however, as Henry has posted 100-yard rushing games in two of his last three outings. Nonetheless, after posting seven touchdowns in his first six games of the season, Henry has only posted one score during this time. The Titans may find it difficult to get their sixth-ranked rushing attack going versus what will likely be an ornery Ravens’ defensive unit that is desperately in search of a win .
Just as the offense has had to endure a number of critical injuries in every area, the same can certainly be said for the defense for the Titans as the unit continues to rank as one of the worst in the league in allowing a tad less than 400 total yards per game while also giving up nearly 280 yards passing, good for only 28th in the league. In fact, the Titans’ defense has been bullied for 30 or more points in three of their last five games. However, they are very opportunistic in possessing 13 takeaways on the season, ranking them 11th in the NFL.
The team has done relatively well in stopping the run throughout the season; However , Indianapolis was able to post 133 yards in last week's defeat. Important to note that the Ravens rushed for 185 yards on the Titans defense in January with Lamar Jackson having 143 of those yards while throwing for 365 yards, a touchdown, along with two interceptions.
Again, the Titans have injuries on just about every level of their defense with defensive lineman Larrel Murchison being questionable with a back injury while linebacker David Long Jr. also being out indefinitely due to illness. The Titans will really be hurting within their defensive secondary as cornerback Chris Jackson, Adoree Jackson, along with Tye Smith along with Dane Cruikshank have already been either ruled out or questionable to suit up. Lastly, defensive end Jadeveon Clowney is also questionable with a knee injury.
Baltimore in danger of falling in standingsWhile Baltimore's defense has proven itself to be very solid, particularly in defending the pass, they have shown signs, recently, that they can be pushed around in the trenches, especially after losing defensive tackle Calais Campbell for the season due to injury. This was exactly the scenario in their last matchup versus the New England Patriots as Baltimore's front four was pushed around often to the tune of allowing 173 yards rushing yards, their worst rush defense performance since allowing 194 yards on the road to the Philadelphia Eagles a month ago.
Nonetheless, the unit must regroup from a short week in order to take on one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL along with one of the more solid running backs in the league as well. And while the Ravens have accomplished this pretty well throughout the season, defensive tackle Brandon Williams is questionable for this contest with an ankle injury. Important to note that linebacker L. J. Fort has been having issues with his finger, yet it is probable to start. Their defensive secondary is also hurting as cornerback Terrell Barnes is already out indefinitely with a knee injury while cornerback Jimmy Smith is questionable with an ankle injury. Cornerback Khalil Dorsey is already out indefinitely with a shoulder injury.
The Ravens’ offense is putting up an average of 27 points per game in 2020 with Lamar Jackson leading the way in rushing as well as touchdowns. The quarterback has thrown for over 1,700 yards this season while posting 14 touchdowns alongside five interceptions. Jackson has also racked up over 500 yards rushing while averaging nearly six yards per carry while posting three rushing touchdowns. However, the Ravens enter this contest with the 31st ranked passing attack in the league in putting up just 184 yards per game.
Marquise Brown leads the receiving corps with 431 yards along with two touchdowns ; However, has just ten receptions in his last four games while having only one 100 + yard receiving night for the season, which was Baltimore's first matchup of the season at home versus the Cleveland Browns September 13th. Mark Andrews has been very effective from his tight end position in posting 358 yards along with five touchdowns on the year while receiver Willie Snead IV has also been a favorite target for Jackson with 25 receptions for 356 yards and three touchdowns .
Expect for the passing game for Baltimore to take some shots downfield in this contest as the Titans have proven that they are either unwilling or too injured in order to provide solid defense within the back-end. Again, the Titans were destroyed for over 300 yards passing versus the Ravens earlier in the year. Nick Boyle, who has two touchdowns on the year, remains on injured reserve with a knee injury.
Stats & Trends
- Titans are 0 - 4 ATS in their last four games in week 11
- Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games
- No Trends to report
While each of these teams have certainly been horrible against the spread this season, I happen to believe that Baltimore will show and prove during this contest. And while they may be out of the picture (so far) as it relates to winning the AFC North Division, Baltimore will need to get back on track in a hurry, particularly with the Cleveland Browns tight on their heels for the second spot within the division.
And while I feel as though Tennessee's offense can certainly keep the Titans in this contest, I also believe that Lamar Jackson and the offense will score some points on the Titans awful defense. Furthermore, the defense for the home team is much more capable of limiting the damage from Tennessee’s run-heavy offense. In all, look for Baltimore to pull away at some point in this contest and cover the points versus a Titans team that simply does not play well against the spread on the road.