Miami is one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Dolphins have won their last five games and have a chance to tie Buffalo at the top of the AFC East standings if they can grab a road win at Denver on Sunday. The Broncos are coming off back-to-back losses, including a blowout loss to Las Vegas last week.
Dolphins keep rollingMiami has won all three of its games since rookie Tua Tagovailoa took over at quarterback. It has been a team effort, though. The special teams has scored three touchdowns during the three-game stretch and the defense is playing extremely well. Miami held Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert to 187 passing yards last week and blocked a punt to set up an easy touchdown for Tagovailoa. Cornerback Xavien Howard notched his fifth interception of the season to set up another scoring drive. The Dolphins’ defense is currently No. 5 in points per game allowed with 20.2.
Tagovailoa has completed 63.6 percent of his passes for 519 yards and five touchdowns. He has yet to throw an interception in the NFL. Running back Myles Gaskin leads the rushing attack with 100 carries for 387 yards and two touchdowns. Rookie Salvon Ahmed averaged four yards per carry in his NFL debut against the Chargers last week. Devante Parker is the best wide receiver on the roster, catching 38 passes for 462 yards and three scores. Tight end Mike Gesicki has added 24 receptions for 371 yards and two touchdowns. Preston Williams has been a nice option as well this season, but he is on the injured reserve with a foot injury.
Lock questionable for this gameDenver comes into this game with a question mark at quarterback. Drew Lock has a severe strain and bruising of his ribs, which puts him at questionable for this game. He did not practice on Wednesday. Lock threw a career-high four interceptions against the Raiders and has now thrown 10 picks in five games since returning from a shoulder injury. If he winds up playing on Sunday, Lock will need to be cautious against a Miami defense that takes advantage of mistakes. Denver’s defense is also struggling right now, allowing at least 30 points in each of the last four games. It is the first time the franchise has done so since 1968.
If the Broncos are forced to go to a backup quarterback on Sunday, Brett Rypien would be the most likely candidate. Rypien started on the road in a win against the Jets in Week 4. He has completed 27 of 40 passes for 295 yards this year, but his touchdown-to-interception ratio is 2-to-4. Melvin Gordon III leads the rushing attack, tallying 439 yards and four touchdowns on 107 carries. Phillip Lindsay’s production has suddenly dropped off for no apparent reason. He carried the ball 23 times against the Patriots in Week 6, but has just 27 total touches since then. Rookie wide receiver Jerry Jeudy leads the team with 34 receptions for 552 yards and two touchdowns. Tim Patrick has added 31 catches for 444 yards and three scores.
Stats & Trends
- 5-0 ATS in its last five games
- 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. Denver
- 4-1 ATS in its last five road games
- 0-5 ATS in its last five home games vs. Miami
I like this red-hot Miami team to go on the road and take care of business against a turnover-prone Denver team. The Dolphins have covered in their last five games and are on an absolute roll right now. They are not only playing well offensively, but their defense and special teams units are also playing fantastic football. Denver has scuffled over the last few weeks and could be without Lock in this game. Miami has covered the spread in its last five trips to Denver, so the altitude has not been an issue. The Dolphins have more to play for in this one.