The Miami Dolphins host the hapless New York Jets Sunday in an AFC East matchup. The Dolphins are 2-3 on the year after an impressive blowout win over San Francisco last week. The Jets fell to 0-5 after getting crushed by Arizona. These two rivals split two games last year. The Dolphins are a 9.5 point favorite in this week six matchup. Game time is Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Fla.
Jets are falling apartThe Jets season is falling apart at the seams, and I wouldn't be shocked if the Jets follow other underachieving teams like Houston and Atlanta and send coach Adam Gase his walking papers. The Jets have been terrible this year, routinely getting blown out, like last week when they lost to Arizona 30-10. Joe Flacco, filling in for Sam Darnold, was a pedestrian 19 for 33 for 195 yards and a touchdown. Le'Veon Bell returned from injury and had a decent game with 60 yards, but this week the Jets released him. Jets GM Joe Douglass said they had explored trade options with Bell and then decided to release him in the best interests of both parties. This is a team in freefall that should be in tank-a-palooza mode for the rest of the year.
Statement from GM Joe Douglas pic.twitter.com/By9XevVXVv— New York Jets (@nyjets) October 14, 2020
Flacco is slated to start against the Dolphins as Darnold remains out. The Jets do nothing well at this point. They are 31st in points per game and total yards per game, 30th in passing yards per game, and 26th in rushing yards per game. And they are dead last in red-zone efficiency. Defensively, the Jets give up 32.8 points per game, which ranks 30th in the NFL. Also, they are 18th in total yards per game against, 15th in passing yards per game against, and 22nd in rushing yards per game allowed. It isn't good all around.
Dolphins score huge winWith the Bills suffering their first loss of the season Tuesday against Tennessee and the Patriots ravaged by COVID-19, the Dolphins fund themselves in an interesting spot. They are 2-3, two games behind Buffalo and just a half-game behind New England. With a win against the Jets, which is very likely, they would be 3-3 and could pick up another game on the Bills, who are a short week and have to play an angry Kansas City team, which was embarrassed by the Raiders last week.
The Dolphins are coming off one of the most impressive wins in the Brian Flores era. The Dolphins blew out the defending NFC champion San Francisco 49ers last week by the score of 43-17. Yes, they ran up 43 points on the vaunted 49ers defense and managed to get 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo benched with their swarming defense. Ryan Fitzpatrick seems to improve with age, as he was 22 for 28 for three touchdowns and a quarterback rating of 154 against the league's best defense. The Dolphins have been solid on offense, ranking 13th in points scored per game. They are 20th in total yards, 15th in passing yards, and 21st in rushing yards per game.
Stats & Trends
- Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss
- Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6.
- Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Take the Dolphins here, giving up the points. Yes, 9.5 points is a lot to give to the Miami Dolphins against anyone. But they are playing the single worst team in the NFL, on a good day. And the Jets are banged up and seem to be in chaos, releasing their best offensive player. They have not just been losing games, they have been losing badly. Their closest game this year has been a 9 point loss -- to Denver. Their other losses have been by an average of almost 20 points. A Jets team that's tanking against a surging Dolphins team spells blow out.