We have an AFC non-divisional matchup to consider for Sunday afternoon when the Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-1) meet the Indianapolis Colts (3-2) for a game of tackle football. The Bengals are coming off a 27-3 road loss to the Baltimore Ravens and the Colts lost by a score of 32-23 to the Cleveland Browns.
Bengals Fall to RavensCincinnati traveled to Baltimore and couldn’t get its offense going in a 27-3 road loss to the Ravens. The Bengals managed just 205 yards of offense against a Ravens defense that forced three Cincinnati turnovers. It doesn’t get any easier as they face one of the best defenses in the NFL in this one.
The Bengals average 260 passing yards per game, and that is on the arm of rookie quarterbackJoe Burrow. Burrow has completed 135-207 passes for 1304 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions. Burrow has been sacked 22 times and has rushed for 85 yards and a touchdown.
Cincinnati has six players with at least 100 receiving yards this season.Tyler Boydleads the way with 32 receptions for 362 yards and a touchdown.Tee Higginshas 16 catches for 214 yards with a team-high two receiving touchdowns, and running backJoe Mixonhas 19 receptions for 123 yards and a score.
The Bengals rush for an average of 102 yards per game, and Mixon is the primary ball carrier, rushing for 374 yards with a team-leading three rushing touchdowns this season.
Cincinnati allows an average of 25.2 points with 395.5 total yards of offense per game. The defense allows an average of 236.6 passing with 159 rushing yards alongside nine sacks and five interceptions this season.
A full injury report can be foundHERE.
Colts Fall to BrownsIndianapolis fell to 3-2 after a tough 32-23 road loss to the Cleveland Browns. Colts quarterback Philip Riversthrew a pair of costly interceptions, and the defense allowed 385 total yards of offense in the loss. Indianapolis hopes to change its fortune when they host the Bengals on Sunday.
• Anthony Castonzo (rib) returns to practice; Leonard, Houston, Alie-Cox, Blackmon & Denico Autry all sit out.— Andrew Walker (@AWalkerColts) October 14, 2020
• How Frank Reich expects Philip Rivers to bounce back vs. CIN.
• Jonathan Taylor facing a lot of loaded boxes so far.#Colts Notebook:https://t.co/VUP5CTrGOc
Indianapolis averages 248 passing yards per game, and Rivers is responsible for most of it. The veteran signal-caller has completed 109-154 passes for 1227 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions. Rivers has been sacked four times and has rushed for one yard this season.
Five Colts receivers have at least 100 receiving yards this season. T.Y Hilton leads the way with 231 yards on 19 receptions, while Mo Allie-Cox has 11 receptions for 194 yards and a team-high two receiving touchdowns, and Zach Paschal and running back Nyheim Hines each has one touchdown this season.
The Colts average 105.8 rushing yards this season, and Jonathan Taylor is the leader, rushing for 307 yards with three touchdowns on 77 attempts. Hines also plays a role, rushing for 81 yards and a touchdown this season.
Indianapolis allows an average of 17.6 points and 280 yards of total offense per contest. The defense allows an average of 193.6 passing with 86.4 rushing yards alongside 11 sacks, nine interceptions, including two pick-sixes this season.
A full injury report can be foundHERE.
Stats & Trends
- Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
- Colts are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 6.
- Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
The Colts opened as 9.5 point favorites, and that line has moved to 7.5 points in most shops. That’s too many points to give to a Bengals team that is 2-1 ATS as the away team, and I suspect we will see a different Bengals offense this week. Indianapolis has a tough defense, but the offense is just average, and I can see the Bengals keeping up offensively with the Colts in this matchup. I also think this game will be a low scoring affair, and that bodes well for Cincinnati. I will take the 7.5 points and play the Bengals to cover the spread in this contest.