The Baltimore Ravens and the Philadelphia Eagles take the field at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Sunday at 1 pm EST in week-six NFL action.
The Ravens enter the contest winners of two-straight games after taking out the Cincinnati Bengals at home last weekend thanks to a lights-out performance from their defense, which is allowing just 15 points per game in 2020. On the other hand, the Eagles were not able to ride the momentum of their first victory of the season in week-four versus the San Francisco 49ers on the road as they fell to the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field as the offense continues to struggle with protecting Carson Wentz.
These two squads have only met three times since 2008, with their last contest being won by the Ravens at home in a tight, 27-26 victory; However, the Eagles were able to cash in on the spread as 5-point dogs. Baltimore, it should be mentioned, cover the points in the remaining two matchups.
Ravens control the line of scrimmage versus Cincy in winBaltimore seemed to be on cruise control versus the Bengals, especially in the running game. Mark Ingram II got the bulk of the carries out of the backfield (11) as he rushed for 57 yards; However, rookie J.K. Dobbins (16 rush, 199 yds, 2 TD's) along with fellow rookie wide receiver Devin Duvernay (7 catches, 59 yds, TD) each had huge runs from scrimmage as well. Gus Edwards (34 runs, 192 yds) rounded out the production in the backfield with 25 yards on seven rushes as QB Lamar Jackson only rushed three times for a total of only three yards.
The signal-caller did not have to put too much on his shoulders with the rushing attack racking up 161 yards on a Bengals defense that seemed to show little fight at the line of scrimmage. However, Jackson did throw for two scores on a less than stellar 19-37 passing day while hooking up with Marquise Brown (22 rec, 319 yds, TD) along with Mark Andrews (18 rec, 222 yds, 5 TD's) for scores. In all, expect the Ravens to certainly get their rushing attack going versus an Eagles team that gave up 136 yards on the ground to the Steelers last weekend. However, it is essential to note that the rushing attack may be affected a bit Sunday as guard Tyre Phillips is questionable for this contest with a shoulder injury.
And while the offense is certainly dangerous in putting up 30 points per game, the defense has been the headliner for the Ravens in 2020. The unit ranks in the top five in total yards per game (335 ypg), rushing yards allowed (92 ypg) along with points per game allowed (15 ppg), and takeaways (10). Furthermore, their defense racked up seven sacks on Burrow and the Bengals, withMarcus Petersleading the way with a pick, a sack, along with four tackles. Safety Chuck Clark (22 tackles, 1.5 sacks, two ff) and Marlon Humphrey (22 tackles, INT, 1.5 sacks, three ff) also got to Burrow a couple of times in addition to linebackers Pernell McAfee along withPatrick Queen.
I expect the Ravens to bring the pressure upfront versus an Eagles offense that continues to struggle with consistency in 2020. Important to add that the Ravens allowed just 16.5 points in two road games this season. However, defensive lineman Broderick Washington and Otaro Alaka are both questionable with an illness and a knee injury, respectively.
Eagles desperate for a winDespite being just 1-3-1 on the season, Philadelphia maintains second-place within a relatively weak NFC East division behind the Dallas Cowboys, who also happen to be sub-.500 on the season. After losing by an average of 14 points in weeks one and two, the Eagles tied the Cincinnati Bengals while picking up a huge road win over a dangerous San Francisco 49ers team. However, the team regressed in the two middle quarters last weekend versus the Steelers. The punishing rushing attack for Pittsburgh and some key touchdown throws from QB Ben Roethlisberger further exposed a defense for the Eagles that have been susceptible to being pushed around at times.
To make matters worse, the Eagles may be without a bevy of pivotal players on the defensive side of the ball as DE Fletcher Cox (leg), DB Darius Slay (concussion), DE Vinny Curry (hamstring), DB Avontae Maddox (out-ankle), along with DB Rudy Ford (out-hamstring) all being recent casualties of the injury bug. The shorthanded unit must now figure out how to attack Jackson and the Ravens potent rushing attack.
It is important to add that the Eagles' defense possesses little to no room for error, particularly with their offense ranking close to the bottom in total yards per game along with passing yards per game. Carson Wentz is completing just 60% of his passes on the year while coming off a game where he went only 20-35 passing for 258 yards, two touchdowns, along with two huge picks. QB Jalen Hurts also took a snap under center and completed an 18-yard pass in the contest. However, despite having Travis Fulgham (12 rec, 209 yds, 2 TD's), Greg Ward (22 rec, 172 yds, 2 TD's), along with tight endZack Ertz(20 rec, 141 yds, TD), the Eagles have not had any breakthrough in their passing attack in 2020 in putting up just 214 yards per game.
The rushing attack is led byMiles Sanders(62 att, 412 yds, 3 TD's), who has also been active in the passing game in catching 11 passes for an average of nine yards per catch this season. Sanders led the Eagles in rushing with 80 yards versus the Steelers, including posting a 74-yard touchdown run. However, the Eagles continue to put up an average of just 108 yards per game.
Philadelphia may also be thin up front on the offensive line as guard Jason Petersand tackle Lane Johnson are both questionable with toe and ankle injuries while Desean Jackson (10 rec, 121 yds) along with Alshon Jeffrey also being questionable (hamstring and foot). Finally, Jalen Reagor (5 rec, 96 yds) along withDallas Goedert(13 rec, 138 yds, TD) are each out indefinitely with thumb and ankle injuries.
Stats & Trends
- Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Ravens are 7-3 ATS in last 10 games
- Ravens are 4-1 ATS following a game where they covered as double-digit favorites
- Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
- Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Eagles are 1-4 ATS in last 4 games
I like the Ravens in this contest. They are playing tough on the defensive side of the ball in 2020, but their offense continues to be one of the more potentially dangerous units in the league despite having a passing attack with Jackson ranked 31st in the league. Nonetheless, the Ravens rushing attack will indeed cause problems for a defensive front that will likely be shorthanded due to injury. With their ground game flowing, the Ravens can become creative in their offensive strategy versus an Eagles defense that has already given up some big plays this year.
Baltimore has been dominant against the number when coming off a double-digit cover in addition to winning against the spread in six of seven road games. The Eagles have struggled at home in going 1-6 ATS at Lincoln Financial Field.