The Iowa Hawkeyes are playing as well as anyone in the Big Ten right now. They have won three straight and have scored some impressive wins over good teams. Now they face a team that they are heavily favored against, Nebraska. Iowa has squeaked past the Cornhuskers the last two years, winning by 3 points each time. This year the Hawkeyes are 13.5 point favorites. Will this be another close game or will Iowa cover?
Nebraska has 5 turnovers in loss to IlliniThe Nebraska Cornhuskers dropped to 1-3 after a 41-23 loss to Illinois last Saturday. It was a disappointing loss after beating Penn State 30-23. Nebraska came into the game as 16.5 point favorites over the Fighting Illini, which had only had 1 win on the season coming in. It was definitely a low point on the season for the Cornhuskers. They were done in by turnovers as quarterback Luke McCaffrey had a dreadful game. McCaffrey went 15 for 26 for 134 yards with 3 interceptions and no touchdowns.
The previous week, McCaffrey started in place of benched starter Adrian Martinez and delivered a win over Penn State. But he was not nearly as good in his second start. In fact, McCaffrey was benched for Martinez in this game. McCaffrey also lost a fumble, so he had four turnovers. The Cornhuskers lost another fumble for a grand total of 5 turnovers to 0 for Illinois. Beyond the turnovers, the Illini shredded the Nebraska defense for 490 yards. Coach Scott Frost said there is an open competition this week between Martinez and McCaffrey. Frost said the one that gives Nebraska the best chance to win will start.
Iowa pummels Penn State for third straightThe Iowa Hawkeyes are one of the hottest teams in the Big Ten. After losing their first two games of the season, the Hawkeyes have rattled off three straight wins to improve to 3-2. The Hawkeyes are now in third place in the Big Ten West, two games behind unbeaten Northwestern and a game in the loss column behind Wisconsin. The Hawkeyes have scored consecutive blowout wins over Michigan State, Minnesota, and Penn State.
Last week they hammered winless Penn State by the score of 41-21. The Hawkeyes forced four turnovers, including two fumble recoveries and 2 interceptions off Penn State quarterback Sean Clifford. One of the interceptions was a pick six. That really was the difference as otherwise, the numbers were pretty close. Iowa was turnover-free as quarterback Spencer Petras went 18 for 28 fort 186 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. All of Iowa's touchdowns came on the ground as Mekhi Sargent had 101 yards rushing with 2 touchdowns while Tyler Goodson had 78 yards rushing and a touchdown. Overall, Iowa had 175 yards rushing.
Stats & Trends
- Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf.
- Cornhuskers are 5-16-2 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cornhuskers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
- Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Cornhuskers are 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Hawkeyes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Hawkeyes are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Take the Hawkeyes in this one giving up the points. The last two years, these two teams have played very close games that Iowa managed to squeak out by field goals in both. Things are a little more lopsided this year., Nebraska is coming off a terrible game, losing to Illinois where they turned it over 5 times. Now they have a quarterback controversy as a starter has not yet been named. That is not going to fly against Iowa, which has one of the best defenses in the conference. If they were shredded and turned it over against Illinois, expect more of the same against Iowa. Plus, Nebraska is terrible against the run while the running game is Iowa's strength. This one has all the earmarks of a rout.