Saturday, October 31, 2020 at 7:00pm EDT
We have SEC football to discuss for Saturday when the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide for an afternoon of tackle football. Mississippi State enters this contest with a 1-3 SEC record and suffered a 28-14 home loss to eleventh ranked Texas A&M. Alabama is 5-0 in the conference and coming off a 48-17 road win over Tennessee.
Cowboys Quarterback CarouselMississippi State hung tough but lost in the end to a better Texas A&M football team by a score of 28-14. Cowboys quarterback Will Rogers threw for 120 yards and a touchdown while Malik Heath hauled in five passes for 57 yards and a touchdown to lead Mississippi State.
It appears we have a quarterback tandem for Saturday. The Bulldogs haven’t named a starter but we have Rogers and K.J. Costello sharing snaps. Costello has completed 130-196 passes for 1267 yards with six touchdowns, ten interceptions including an interception in the loss to the Aggies. Rogers has completed 24-33 passes for 163 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Cowboys quarterbacks have suffered 14 sacks and neither quarterback has positives rushes from scrimmage.
Eight Cowboys receivers have at least 100 yards this season. Osiris Mitchell leads the team with 287 receiving yards with a pair of scores and Kylin Hill, JaVonta Payton, Heath, and Austin Williams each have one touchdown this season.
The Cowboys don’t run the ball much but their main ball carrier is running back Jo’Quavious Marks. Marks has rushed for 89 yards on 22 attempts, Hill has 58 rushing yards and Dillon Johnson has the Cowboys lone rushing touchdown this season.
Mississippi State allows averages of 26.8 points and 295 total yards of offense per contest. The Cowboys allow averages of 192 passing with 103 rushing yards alongside a dozen sacks and three interceptions including one pick-six.
Alabama 5-0 This SeasonAlabama remained unbeaten with a 48-17 road win over Tennessee. Alabama quarterback Mac Jones threw for 387 yards and running back Najee Harris scampered for 96 yards with three touchdowns to lead the Crimson Tide to its fifth consecutive victory of the season.
Jones has completed 115-146 passes for 1905 yards with a dozen touchdowns and two interceptions including six sacks this season.
Five Alabama receivers have at least 100 receiving yards this season. Jaylen Waddle leads the team with 25 receptions for 557 yards and four touchdowns but will miss several weeks with a fractured ankle that required surgery. DeVonta Smith has 45 receptions for 556 yards and four scores while John Metchie III has 499 yards and three touchdowns this season.
The Crimson Tide have two running backs mostly responsible for the 168 rushing yards they average. Harris leads the team with 595 yards and 14 touchdowns on 103 attempts and Brian Robinson Jr has 203 rushing yards with a pair of scores.
Alabama allows averages of 26.4 points and 427 yards of offense per contest. The defense allows averages of 279 passing and 147 rushing yards with seven sacks, five interceptions including one pick-six this season.
Stats & Trends
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
Alabama opened as a 33 point favorite and that number is now at 31 points. That’s okay because we are going with the Cowboys to cover. The Crimson Tide defense isn’t as stout as it has been in years past and they allow nearly 300 passing yards per game. Mississippi State throws the ball very well at times and I suspect that the two Cowboys quarterbacks are going to try and one-up each other and against the soft Alabama passing defense, I think that they can. I will take the points and go with Mississippi State to cover the spread in this contest.