After getting embarrassed two weeks ago by Clemson, the 13th ranked Miami Hurricanes bounced back last week to knock off the Pittsburgh Panthers 31-19. This week the 4-1 Hurricanes hos the 1-3 Virginia Cavaliers in an Atlantic Coast Conference battle. Miami is a big favorite at 11.5 points. Last year, Miami outlasted Virginia 17-9 , winning ugly and covering the 2.5 spread. Will we see more of the same in this year's meeting?
Virginia loses three straightThe Virginia Cavaliers have lost their last three games after a season opening win over Duke. Duke is mired in the basement of the ACC at 1-5, so it wasn't exactly a great confidence booster for the Cavs. Over the last three weeks they have been pummeled pretty hard, losing by an average of 17 points and allowing an average of 40 points in those losses. That tells you that the Cavaliers don't have a very good defense. Overall, they allow 30 points per game, but that's factoring in their 38-20 over Duke. It's been worse in recent weeks.
Last weekend the Cavaliers got beat up by Wake Forest (2-2) by the count of 40-23. Quarterback Lindell Stone went 24 for 42 for 292 yards, but it was the two interceptions that killed him. Billy Kemp had 9 catches for 68 yards. Virginia ran the ball well with 218 yards on the ground compared to 174 for Wake Forest. Keytaon Thompson led the way with 71 yards on 10 carries while Wayne Taulapapa had 68 yards on 10 carries with a touchdown. Iraken Armstead added 46 rushing yards and a touchdown.
King leads Miami over PanthersThe Miami Hurricanes are the 13th ranked team in the country but they found out two weeks ago that they are not on the level of conference rival and national powerhouse Clemson, who throttled them 42-17. But they bounced back with a pretty decisive win over a pretty good Pittsburgh team, 31-19. Miami was in control most of the way as expected, but they did not cover the final line, which was 13.5.
Highest-graded Power Five quarterbacks— PFF College (@PFF_College) October 13, 2020
1. Mac Jones - 94.0
2. Trevor Lawrence - 92.4
3. D'Eriq King - 90.6 pic.twitter.com/myLVOnlDrL
As has been the case all year, the 'Canes go as their quarterback D'Eriq King goes. King is a threat in the air and on the ground and accounts for most of Miami's offense. King had a weird game, going 16 for 31 for 222 yards with 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Two of those touchdowns went to tight end Will Mallory, who had 2 catches for 51 yards with two touchdowns. Mike Harley and Cam'Ron Harris also had touchdown grabs. King also led the rushing attack with 32 yards on the ground.
The Hurricanes average 43 points per game, which is 8th in the country. They are 12th in rushing yards. defensively, they allow 19 points per game, 14th in the country, and they are 27th in total yards allowed.
Stats & Trends
- Cavaliers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Hurricanes are 3-0 at home
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS
Take the Hurricanes here giving up 11.5 points. I love the "Canes here, for a lot of reasons. Miami is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging 40 points per game, and Virginia has allowed an average of 40 points per game over their last three. There's no way they are going to go to Miami and hold them below 40 points. And in three losses to worse teams than Miami, they have averaged only 21 points per game. Virginia has kept it close in past years, but they will get their doors blown in next week by way more than 11.5 points.