Saturday afternoon on the College gridiron and we will see a pair of teams from the SEC square off as the Kentucky Wildcats tangle with the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri. The Wildcats enter this game at 2-2 on the year while the Tigers come in at 1-2. These teams met last year and Kentucky won that game at home by a score of 29-7. The Cats were dogs of 9.5 in the contest while the OU line was 43.5.
Kentucky Rips The Vols On The RoadThe Tennessee Volunteers have been ranked this year, but they were still no match for a tough Kentucky squad this past week. After loins their first two games of the season and allowing 71 points in those games, the Cats have come back to win their last two games, and they have allowed just nine points in those two games. The defense is on fire for the Cats, and they enter this game ranked 19th in total yards allowed at 341.3 ypg while also allowing just 20.0 ppg, which is 15th in the land. Their strength in a run defense that has allowed just 106.3 ypg on the year and that is despite allowing 175 yards in the win over Tennessee last week. They will now face a Missouri offense that is 61st in the nation in rushing at 125.0 ypg.
Live Now - Kelvin Joseph- Pre-Missouri Press Conference https://t.co/7rcb0RzIDf— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) October 21, 2020
The offense for Kentucky has been rather average so far, but they will be facing a Missouri defense that has struggled. Kentucky is 62nd in total offense and 48th in scoring, putting up 28.0 ppg. Their strength on offense is a running game that ranks 17th in the nation at 206.0 ypg. The Cats had 187 yards last week against the Vols, and leading the way was Christopher Rodriguez Jr., who had 73 yards and a TD. He leads the team in rushing with 257 yards and four TDs while QB Terry Wilson is 2nd with 253 and three TDs. Speaking of Wilson, he has been solid this year, throwing for 564 yards on 64.4% passing with three TDs and just one INT. He had only 101 yards last week against Tennessee but hit 80% of his pass while tossing one TD and having no INTs. Getting the running game going may not be easy as the Tigers have been tough against the run, but Wilson could have a big game against their weak pass defense.
Missouri Stuns LSU At HomeThe Missouri Tigers began their season at 0-2 with losses, but they were able to find the win column with a surprising 45-41 home win over the LSU Tigers, who won a national title last year. Missouri was underdogs of two TDs in the game. Missouri put up 586 yards against the LSU defense, including 406 yards through the air. The Tigers have a strong passing game that ranks 18th in the nation, putting up 292.3 ypg. Connor Bazelak had his best start yet as he hit 29 of his 34 pass attempts for 406 yards with four TDs and no INTs against an LSU defense that allowed just 21.9 ppg and 223 ypg through the air a year ago. Bazelak has thrown for 692 yards with those four TDs and only one INT on the year, and he will be facing a Kentucky defense that is 35th against the pass, allowing just 235 ypg through the air so far.
Missouri did have 180 yards rushing against LSU, but they still are 61st in rushing, putting up just 125.0 ypg so far, and Kentucky has been very tough against the run. Leading their ground game has been Larry Rountree III, who has rushed for 270 yards and a TD. He has 118 yards in the win against LSU. The defense did not have a good showing against LSU, especially the pass defense, which allowed 430 yards. The pass defense has been an issue for the Tigers as they are 69th in that department, allowing 307.7 ypg through the air. The good news here is that Kentucky is not a passing team, and the Tigers are 27th against the run, allowing just 130.7 ypg thus far. They allowed LSU only 46 yards on the ground. Missouri was supposed to play Florida this week, but the Gators are having issues with Covid-19, so that game has been postponed to next week.
Stats & Trends
- 4-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- The Favorite is 0-4 ATS the last four games in this series
- 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game
- 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games
This may not be a popular pick with many but I feel that the Cats are in a prime spot for a letdown. Kentucky has had their issues with the Vols over the years but they got the monkey off their back last week. The Cats beat the Vols on the road for the first time since 1984, so you can see why this team may have a letdown spot n this one. The Cats are a good rushing team, but Missouri is strong against the run. The Cats have been good against the pass, but Missouri has a solid passing game and that should be the difference in this game. Yes, Missouri is also off a huge upset win but they have had an extra week to get over it and prepare for this one. I will look for the Tigers to keep this one close against the Cats.