The Red Raiders are finding their groove, as they've gone 5-2 SU in their last seven games. On Tuesday, they have a crucial Big 12 showdown awaiting them when they travel to Manhattan, Kansas to face the Wildcats, a team they've gone 6-4 SU against in their last 10 meetings.
Meanwhile, Kansas State enters this game still searching for its first conference win of the season. The Wildcats are 0-3 in Big 12 play and hope to turn this around at home, where they've gone 6-2 on the season.
Tuesday's contest takes place at the Fred Bramlage Coliseum with tip-off slated for 8 p.m. EST.
Can the Red Raiders mount consistent scoring runs?Offensively, Texas Tech has been good on the road where they average 73 points per game on 43% shooting. This places them 94th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to KenPom.
On Tuesday, this efficient offense meets the ultimate test. Kansas State's defense has been close to dominant at home, where they limit opponents to 57 points per game on 37% shooting. This places them 39th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.
One player who must come up strong for the Red Raiders is Jahmi'us Ramsey. In his lone road game this season, he struggled, scoring only eight points on 20% shooting. Given he's the team's leading scorer and he's facing a stout defense, he'll need better production to help Texas Tech win on the road.
The Wildcats face a unique defensive challengeKansas State's offense is average on its home court where they score 69 points per game on 44% shooting. This places them 201st nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to KenPom.
This offense could find points easier to come by on Tuesday when they face a Texas Tech defense that's part Jekyl and part Hyde. The Red Raiders are 11th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. However, this only tells a part of the story, as on the road they struggle to limit teams.
Texas Tech surrenders 72 points per game on 43% shooting. To be fair, the sample size for these averages are two games, so while small, it definitely points to a trend the Red Raiders don't want to continue.
One player to watch for Kansas State fans is Xavier Sneed. Sneed leads the team in scoring with 14 points per game. That said, he's struggled at times against Big 12 foes, and he's coming off a five-point performance in the Wildcats' loss to Texas. So, he has added incentive to have a big game.
Stats & Trends
Texas Tech is:
- 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games
Trends found on Odds Shark.com Kansas State is:
- 1-5 SU in last 6 games
I like Texas Tech to win because they're a more balanced team heading into this one. Despite their struggles on the road defensively, this unit will find its groove, as it holds opponents to 43% shooting. And it's facing a Kansas State offense that's average at best, as they're 201st nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. This matchup favors Texas Tech who'll use a strong defensive performance to generate points in transition. And in a tight contest where the defenses determine the winner, I'm confident Texas tech gets the job done on the road.