San Diego Padres
Friday, June 11, 2021 at 7:10pm EDT
New York Mets
The Mets are atop the NL East and in the first game of an NL series play host to the slumping Padres.
The Padres have lost two in a row and four of their last five games and in their last 11 games they only have three wins. While slumping as of late they still are 10 games over .500 and only 2.5 games out of first place in the NL West. The San Diego lineup has been solid on the season but not so much as of late and the strength of the club is a pitching staff that leads the Majors in team ERA.
The Mets have won three of their last four games and they are on the only team in the NL East that has a winning record. Still, in the tight division they are only 3.5 games up on the Atlanta Braves. The team ranks dead last in the Majors in runs scored but second in team ERA.
These teams met in the series before their last one in the sunny San Diego where the Mets dropped the first two games but won the last two.
One Does Not Cut It, AgainIn their last game the Padres were at home and lost to the Chicago Cubs 3-1 after losing to them the previous game where they also only scored one run. In the 3-1 loss in the last game they only had three hits with Manny Machado having the lone RBI. San Diego ranks a respectable 11th in the Majors in runs scored but in the four losses in their last five games they only totaled four runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. (.277 17 HR 39 RBI) leads San Diego in HR and RBI and he only has two hits and no RBI over his last five games. Machado has six RBI over his last six games but is only batting .235. On the season the Padres are 16-13 on the road.
Blake Snell (2-2 4.83 ERA 1.43 ERA) takes the hill for this series opener and his last start was a gem tossing seven scoreless innings and only allowing one hit in a 2-0 win over the Mets. The Padres had lost his previous two starts where he was lit up giving up 12 runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
Don’t Mind the StatsWhile the Mets rank dead last in the Majors in runs scored their lineup blew up in their last game in a 14-1 road win over the Baltimore Orioles. They racked up 16 hits in the blowout win and Kevin Pillar and Billy McKinney each went yard twice and combined for nine RBI.
Dingers on dingers on dingers. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/te5reEYkGc— New York Mets (@Mets) June 10, 2021
Pete Alonso (.265 10 HR 31 RBI) leads the club in batting average, HR, and RBI and he has three HR and six RBI in his last two games. He is the only player for the team that has more than six HR and 22 RBI. On the season the Mets are 15-5 at home.
Ace Jacob deGrom (5-2 0.62 ERA 0.57 WHIP) leads the Majors in ERA and in his last start he was great again not giving up any runs and only allowing three hits in a 4-0 win over the Padres. He is the front-runner for the Cy Young, has not given up any runs in his last two starts, and only has given up more than one run in one start this season and that was his third one of the season.
Stats & Trends
The San Diego Padres are:
- 1-4 in their last 5 overall
- 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
- 21-43 in their last 64 games as an underdog
- 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter
The New York Mets are:
- 4-0 in their last 4 home games
- 14-4 in their last 18 games as a favorite
- 9-4 in their last 13 overall
Tempted to go with the Under in this game but even with the pitching matchup will stay away from that with a total of only 5.5 runs. So, will be taking the Mets in this game simply because deGrom is on the hill. He has been lights out all season and has not given up any runs in his last two starts with his last one coming against the Padres. Snell had a stellar last start against the Mets not giving up any runs and only allowing one hit in seven innings in a San Diego win. However, he was lit up in his previous two starts. I think he will pitch well again but he will not outduel deGrom. In a low scoring affair the Mets will get the win over the slumping Padres.