Wednesday 3/26/14 Late Pick Four Selections

tampa

Tampa Bay Ticket

Race 6: 3,4,5,6

Race 7: 1,2,5,9

Race 8: 3,6,7

Race 9: 4,8

Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)

gulfstream park logo.phpGulfstream Ticket

Race 7: 5,8,2,3

Race 8: 4,1,2,3

Race 9: 6,2,3

Race 10: 4,7,1

Ticket Cost: $72 (.50 cent)

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Laurel Ticket

Race 5: 2,1,6,7

Race 6: 6,5

Race 7: 2,1,3

Race 8: 4,1,6,5

Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)

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Fair Grounds Ticket

Race 6: 1,3,5,7

Race 7: 2,1,5,7

Race 8: 2,4,8,10

Race 9: 5,1

Ticket Cost: $64 (.50 cent)

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Hawthorne Ticket

Race 5: 4,1,3

Race 6: 5,1,7

Race 7: 10,7,3,4

Race 8: 6,8,1

Ticket Cost: $54 (.50 cent)

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Wednesday 3/19/14 Late Pick Four Selections

 

tampa

Tampa Bay Ticket

Race 7: 1,5

Race 8: 2,6

Race 9: ALL

Race 10: 5,6,7,4

Ticket Cost: $80 (.50 cent)

gulfstream park logo.phpGulfstream Ticket

Race 7: 3,4

Race 8: 3,6,7,8

Race 9: 9,3,2

Race 10: 9,7,8

Ticket Cost: $36 (.50 cent)

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Laurel Ticket

Race 6: 3,2,4,5

Race 7: 3,6

Race 8: 3,1,6,7

Race 9: 7,3

Ticket Cost: $32 (.50 cent)

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Fair Grounds Ticket

Race 6: 2,4,7

Race 7: 1,3,4

Race 8: 9,4,10

Race 9: 11,9,12

Ticket Cost: $40.50 (.50 cent)

hawthorne_racecourse_logo

Hawthorne Ticket

Race 5: 5,6,3

Race 6: 1,5

Race 7: 3,2,4

Race 8: 2,3,6,7

Ticket Cost: $36 (.5o cent)

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Racing Dudes Thursday Betting Plan

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Over the last few weeks we’ve had several comments, tweets, and emails asking if we could narrow down our picks to our top two or three selections, or who we really like compared to just who we are so-so about.  So today we’ve decided to try something new.  The “Racing Dudes Betting Plan” gives you all the horses we like on a given day, and suggestions on how to bet them.  So without further ado, here is the betting plan for this Thursdays action…

NOTE: The betting amounts posted are what I would personally use.  You may want to raise or lower the amounts suggested to better reflect the bankroll you will be working with.  Don’t bet the rent money!!

Aqueduct Race 3: #4 Appearance (1:18 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: The team of Taylor Rice and David Jacobson have been hot at Aqueduct, and this one ran a pretty solid second here last time out.  Could be a nice bankroll builder to start out the day.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $4.70, $2.50.  Total Profit: $92.50, ROI: 61.7%

Oaklawn Park Race 1: #1 Jungle Princess and #1A Maybelle Slew (1:30 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Two Richard horses here…hard to not take a shot with these two.  Even money would still be playable, but keep a close eye on the price.  With these powerful connections the odds could go down quickly.

RESULTS: Second.  Paid $2.20.  NO BET DUE TO LOW ODDS!!  Total Profit: $92.50, ROI: 61.7%

Aqueduct Race 6: #2 Very Cherry Candy (2:45 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Was third last time in his first try over the Aqueduct surface after winning the race before at Gulfstream.  Enters in a similar level today, and might be better equipped to handle the track.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $6.30, $3.30. Total Profit: $265, ROI: 88.3%

Golden Gate Race 1: #1 Quick Cenizas (2:45 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Russell Baze always wins the opener at Golden Gate!  All systems set on go here, but much like the Richard horses at Oaklawn, you have to worry somewhat about the odds.  Even money is playable, anything lower is dicey.

RESULTS: Second. Paid $3.00.  Total Profit: $265, ROI: 58.9%

Oaklawn Park Race 4: #2 Thingamajigger (2:52 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: It’s that time of year at Oaklawn where Asmussen makes his presence felt, and he has several live horses on the card.  This horse was a solid second last time out so we know he gets over the Oaklawn track ok.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $4.40, $2.80.  Total Profit: $365, ROI: 48.7%

Santa Anita Race 1: #3 Atta Boy Pete (3:00 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: He returns to Santa Anita today after running a terrible sixth at Golden Gate last time out.  This track seems to be to his liking and he’s back to the level he runs best at.  Hopefully that poor last race gives us a decent price.

RESULTS: Third. Paid $0. Total Profit: $215, ROI: 23.9%

Oaklawn Park Race 6: #10 Justa Runner (3:46 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: In this race is the highly anticipated 4-year-old debut of Big Lute, but Hobby isn’t great with horses off a long layoff so I do believe he’s beatable today.  Justa Runner looks like the right horse to beat him with, and should be a decent price.

RESULTS: Third. Paid $0. Total Profit: $65, ROI: 7.2%

Fair Grounds Race 6: #7 Ben’s Juliette (3:55 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: She’s in the capable hands of Brad Cox and has been knocking on the door lately.  This should be the right group for her to break through today.

RESULTS: Off the board. Paid $0. Total Profit: (-85), ROI: -8.1%

Fair Grounds Race 7: #3 Pistolpackinsenora (4:25 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Just a solid Louisiana runner who has solid connections.

RESULTS: Winner!!  Paid $3.40, $2.80. Total Profit: (-10), ROI: -.8%

Santa Anita Race 4: #1 Winding Way (4:32 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Big time class dropper and Stevens stays on to ride.  That’s enough for me to take a shot.

RESULTS: Second. Paid $2.60. Total Profit (-30), ROI: -2.2%

Oaklawn Park Race 9: #7 Wizardly (5:10 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: He was ever so close last time out, and today should be the day.  However, another where the odds could drop too low…

RESULTS: Second. Paid $3.00. Total Profit: (-30), ROI: -2%

Fair Grounds Race 9: #1 Tight Britches (5:25 CT)

Suggested Bet: $20 Across the Board

Analysis: Winner of six straight races and morning line of 9/2??  This will be a jump up in class, but he’s worth an across the board wager today.  We’ll see if his Delta, Fair Meadows, and Will Rogers form can translate to Fair Grounds.

RESULTS: SCRATCHED. Total Profit: (-30), ROI: -2%

Delta Race 6: #6 Webster (7:30 CT)

Suggested Bet: $50 Win/$100 Place

Analysis: Field of ten here makes this one likely to be a decent price, and will also make for a bigger place payout if we’re lucky.  A lot of times a huge price comes in with favorites finishing second at Delta.  If that’s the case here, this wager will still be profitable.

RESULTS: Winner!! Paid $7.80, $4.40.  Total Profit: $235, ROI: 14.2%

Delta Race 9: #2 Little Face (8:51 CT)

Suggested Bet: Late pick 4 single:  TICKET: .50 cent pick 4:  2/5,6/1,2,3,5,6,7,8,9,10/3,4,6,9 = $36

Analysis: This one is very close to being the best bet of the day, and we could find some value in the other three races.  Since #2 Little Face is sure to be a short price in race 9 we can’t make money on him with straight wagers, so why not take a swing and pair him up with some price horses in the late pick four.

RESULTS: Single wins, but pick 4 does not cash.  Total Profit: $199, ROI: 11.8%

Wednesday 3/5/14 Late Pick Four Selections

tampa

Tampa Bay Ticket

Race 6: 2

Race 7: 4

Race 8: ALL

Race 9: 1,7,3,4

Ticket Cost: $20 (.50 cent)

gulfstream park logo.phpGulfstream Ticket

Race 7: 3,9,5

Race 8: 5,2

Race 9: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7

Race 10: 1,6,5

Ticket Cost: $63 (.50 cent)

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Laurel Ticket

Race 6: 2,3,4,7

Race 7: 3,7,1

Race 8: 3,2,4

Race 9: 2,3,9,7

Ticket Cost: $72 (.50 cent)

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Delta Downs Tickets

Race 7: 6,7,3,5,2

Race 8: 1,2,7,8,9

Race 9: 4,5,2

Race 10: 7,10

Ticket Cost: $75 (.50 cent)

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Fair Grounds Ticket

Race 5: 3,4,5,2

Race 6: 2,1,4,10

Race 7: 2,3,8,1

Race 8: 4,9,6

Ticket Cost: $96 (.50 cent)

hawthorne_racecourse_logo

Hawthorne Ticket

Race 5: 5,2,6

Race 6: 2,1,4,6,5

Race 7: 6,7,1

Race 8: 5,4

Ticket Cost: $45 (.50 cent)

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Lecomte Stakes (Grade 3) Preview

lecomte stakes

Racing Dudes Picks

Win - 4

Exacta - 3,4,6,7, Box

Trifecta - 3,4,6,7 Box

Horses to Use in Vertical Wagers – 4,6,7,3

Race Shape

Speed - Roman Unbridled, Albano, Vicar’s in Trouble

Stalkers - Smarty’s Echo, Plug Catcher

Closers - Rainbow Trip, Got Shades, Gold Hawk, Silent Ruler

Racing Dudes Projected Order of Finish

#4 Gold Hawk (KY) - Perhaps the early hype horse for the Kentucky Derby can gain a little more steam with a victory here.  He’s a perfect two for two, and both wins were effortless!  It’s hard to win at Churchill Downs on debut going seven furlongs, but Gold Hawk did it with ease.  Then he returned at the Fair Grounds in an allowance going a mile and seventy yards, and cruised again.  With great connections, a win at the distance, a win over the surface, impeccable breeding, and a boat load of talent, he’s clearly the one to beat in this field.  Here’s hoping the bandwagon isn’t already too full so we can get somewhat of a price on him this Saturday.

#6 Albano (KY) - He won the Sugar Bowl Stakes last time out in a workman like effort, so obviously this is the next step for him.  You have to like the fact that both of his wins have come over the Fair Grounds surface, but they both have also come at six furlongs.  However, I don’t think the mile and seventy yards will be an issue for this horse, and I do like his running style.  He’ll could press the pace, but I also believe he can rate off the pace when going longer.  He’s coming in off a sharp workout just a few days ago so all systems are go for this big test.

#7 Vicar’s in Trouble (LA) - If you are a fan of speed figures, this is your horse!  Last time out he absolutely crushed a field of Louisiana bred maidens by an eye-popping thirteen lengths.  The race gave him instant hype, and also gave him a speed figure that is double digits better than anything else in this race.  However, that race was just six furlongs so how he stretches out will be the key.  Love that the top jock is on his back….he’s definitely the wild card of the bunch.

#3 Got Shades (KY) - You have to love how respectable this horse has been in races that have been pretty tough.  He’s a two-time stakes winner at Louisiana Downs, and ran third and fifth at Santa Anita in two other stakes, one being the Grade 1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf.  So the class is there…but can this horse run on dirt.  All five of his lifetime races have come over the turf, so obviously that will be his major question mark.

#1 Roman Unbridled (KY) - This one comes in hot off a wire to wire eight length stakes win at Delta Downs, but can he carry that form with him to the Fair Grounds?  He’s been well beaten in both races he’s ran that are a mile or longer, and his only graded stakes try was a fourth place finish; beaten eight lengths.  His natural speed is a danger, but is he classy enough?  I’m guessing not at this distance/level.

#5 Smarty’s Echo (KY) - Could this one be better on turf or synthetics?  He’s hit the board in all three of his starts on those surfaces, but in his only dirt try he finished tenth, beaten sixteen lengths.  Of course that race was the Breeders Cup Juvenile, but his absolute no show in that race raised a lot of red flags for me.  A wait and see approach with him…

#2 Rainbow Trip (KY) - He comes in off a nice allowance win at Retama, but the waters get deeper today.  Probably out-classed in this one, but its worth a try considering the history of long prices that have come in at this track.

#9 Plug Catcher (KY) - Finished third in the race Gold Hawk comes out of so it’s hard to see him beating him today.  Maybe I’m being a little harsh ranking him second to last, but he just looks to be a bit overmatched.

#8 Silent Ruler (KY) - Still maiden…never good when facing stakes company.  Even though he did actually finish first in a maiden special weight two races back and was DQ’d, this is still too steep of a race for him to be in.

TwinSpires Million Road to Derby Showdown

New Year’s Eve Late Pick 4 Selections

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Aqueduct Ticket

Race 6: 3,1,6,7,11

Race 7: 5,4,7,2,3

Race 8: 1,7,9

Race 9: 9,8,10,7

Ticket Cost: $150 (.50 cent)

Fair Grounds Ticket

Race 7: 3,2,4

Race 8: 4,5,3,9

Race 9: 11,6,2

Race 10: 3,6

Ticket Cost: $36 (.50 cent)

Laurel Ticket

Race 6: 5,6,2,4

Race 7: 6,5,2,9

Race 8: 4,3

Race 9: 7,8,4

Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)

Parx Ticket

Race 5: 9,2,3,5,8

Race 6: 3,1

Race 7: 6,2,1,11

Race 8: 1,2,3,4,7

Ticket Cost: $100 (.50 cent)

Turfway Ticket

Race 6: 1,5

Race 7: 9,8,3

Race 8: 3,10

Race 9: 2,1,5,4

Ticket Cost: $24 (.50 cent)

TwinSpires Million Road to Derby Showdown

Free Late Pick 4 Selections: December 26, 2014

Flashback Looks to get back into the Winners Circle

Flashback Looks to get back into the Winners Circle

Santa Anita Ticket

Race 6: 1,4,6

Race 7: 8,7,6,4

Race 8: 4,5,7,9,10,11,3

Race 9: 8,5

Ticket Cost: $84 (.50 cent)

Aqueduct Ticket

Race 6: 1,5,3,4

Race 7: 5,8,2,9

Race 8: 6,4,2,8

Race 9: 8,1,5

Ticket Cost: $96 (.50 cent)

Gulfstream Ticket

Race 7: 10,7,6,5,4

Race 8: 1,4,9,8

Race 9: 2,9,7,6

Race 10: 1,2,12

Ticket Cost: $120 (.50 cent)

Fair Grounds Ticket

Race 6: 8,5,10,11

Race 7: 3,7,8

Race 8: 4,5,3,6

Race 9: 6,1

Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)

Tampa Bay Ticket

Race 6: 7,3,6,8

Race 7: 9,1,4,10

Race 8: 8,7,5,4,11,12

Race 9: 1,9

Ticket Cost: $96 (.50 cent)

Golden Gate Ticket

Race 6: 1-12

Race 7: 9,2

Race 8: 9,4,1

Race 9: 8.9

Ticket Cost: $72 (.50 cent)

Hawthorne Ticket

Race 6: 4,1

Race 7: 5,3,4

Race 8: 1,2

Race 9: 8,2,5

Ticket Cost: $12 (.50 cent)

Laurel Ticket

Race 6: 6,5,2,1

Race 7: 10,5,6,1

Race 8: 5,1,3,4

Race 9: 3,2

Ticket Cost: $64 (.50 cent)

Turfway Ticket

Race 6: 3,6,7

Race 7: 2,7,6

Race 8: 2,7

Race 9: 4,1,12

Ticket Cost: $27 (.50 cent)

Delta Ticket

Race 7: 3,5,10,6

Race 8: 5,2,9,1

Race 9: 6,3,1

Race 10: 10,5

Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)

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Thanksgiving Weekend Stakes Selections

Happy Thanksgiving!!

Happy Thanksgiving!!

Thursday

Churchill Downs: Falls City Handicap (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #3 Fiftyshadesofhay

Racing Dudes Longshot: #7 Wine Princess

Aqueduct: Fall Highweight Handicap (Grade 3)

Racing Dudes Pick:#6 Strapping Groom

Racing Dudes Longshot: #3 Caixa Electronica

Fair Grounds: Thanksgiving Handicap

Racing Dudes Pick: #6 Mico Margarita

Racing Dudes Longshot: #5 Central Banker

Hollywood Park: Vernon O Underwood Stakes (Grade 3)

Racing Dudes Pick:  #5 Chosen Miracle

Racing Dudes Longshot: #1 Anillo

Friday

Churchill Downs: Clark Handicap (Grade 1)

Racing Dudes Pick: #1 Game On Dude

Racing Dudes Longshot: #5 Prayer for Relief

Aqueduct: Go For Wand Handicap (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #8 Executiveprivilege

Racing Dudes Longshot: #6 Fantasy of Flight

Hollywood Park: Citation Handicap (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #2 Summer Front

Racing Dudes Longshot: #4 Big Bane Theory

Golden Gate: Berkeley Stakes (Grade 3)

Racing Dudes Pick: #5 Summer Hit

Racing Dudes Longshot: #6 Majestic City

Saturday

Aqueduct: Cigar Mile (Grade 1)

Racing Dudes Pick:#9 Flat Out

Racing Dudes Longshot: #2 Forty Tales

Aqueduct: Remsen Stakes (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #4 Honor Code

Racing Dudes Longshot: #1 Noble Moon

Aqueduct: Demoiselle Stakes (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #6 Stopchargingmaria

Racing Dudes Longshot: #1 Got Lucky

Aqueduct: Comely Stakes (Grade 3)

Racing Dudes Pick: #4 My Happy Face

Racing Dudes Longshot: #8 Galloping Giraffe

Hawthorne: Hawthorne Gold Cup (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #3 Last Gunfighter

Racing Dudes Longshot: #2 Derby Kitten

Churchill Downs: Golden Rod Stakes (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #7 Vexed

Racing Dudes Longshot: #5 Bird Maker

Churchill Downs: Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (Grade 2)

Racing Dudes Pick: #1 Almost Famous

Racing Dudes Longshot: #6 Tapiture

Hollywood Park: Generous Stakes (Grade 3)

Racing Dudes Pick: #5 Aotearoa

Racing Dudes Longshot: #4 Global View

Hollywood Park: Miesque Stakes (Grade 3)

Racing Dudes Pick: #3 Clenor

Racing Dudes Longshot: #5 Nesso

Sunday

Hollywood: The Matriarch Stakes (Grade 1)

Racing Dudes Pick: #6 Dayatthespa

Racing Dudes Longshot: #7 Pianist

Hollywood: The Hollywood Derby (Grade 1)

Racing Dudes Pick: #6 Admiral Kitten

Race Dudes Longshot: #4 Jack Milton

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Fair Grounds Selections: Risen Star Day

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Race 1: #3 Checkered Past

Race 2: #10 Strikin Ike

Race 3: #7 Sunbean

Race 4: #3 Free World Continue reading

Top 10 Thursday Plays 1/24/13

Chee is our Best Bet Today

Chee is our Best Bet Today

1. Gulfstream Race 8: #2 Chee

2. Aqueduct Race 8: #4 Mordi’s Miracle

3. Laurel Race 7: #6 Irish Exchange

4. Gulfstream Race 5: #1 Bristol Dancer Continue reading