Breeders Cup 2013: Saturday Analysis

Game On Dude Looks to Redeem Himself in the Classic

Game On Dude Looks to Redeem Himself in the Classic

Race 1: Juvenile Turf Sprint

Likely Winners: #2 Richies Party Girl, #8 Love In The Desert

Exotic Plays: #4 Jedi Mind Trick, #5 Test Ride, #9 Toowindytohaulrox

Wild Cards: #1 South Sound

Throw Outs: #3 Mr. Cactus, #6 Alpine Luck, #7 Dothraki

Race 2: Damascus Stakes

Likely Winners: #1 Flashback

Exotic Plays: #3 Zeewat

Wild Cards: #4 Show Some Magic

Throw Outs: #2 Tour Guide, #5 Anillo

Race 3: Ken Maddy Stakes (Grade 3)

Likely Winners: #1 Purim’s Dancer, #3 Winding Way, #7 Ultrasonic, #13 Pontchatrain

Exotic Plays: #6 Judy in Disguise, #10 Unusual Hottie, #12 Qiaona

Wild Cards:#2 Sister Kate, #4 Let Faith Arise, #5 Sky High Girl

Throw Outs: #8 Mind Eyes, #9 Camryn Kate, #11 A Time to Love

Race 4: Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #1 Artemis Agrotera, #7 Untapable, #10 She’s a Tiger

Exotic Plays: #2 Rosalind, #4 Secret Compass, #9 Sweet Reason

Wild Cards: #5 Concave

Throw Outs: #3 Designer Legs, #5 Ria Antonia, #8 Scandalous Act

Race 5: Filly and Mare Turf (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #1 Dank, #2 Romantica

Exotic Plays: #3 Tiz Flirtatious, #6 Marketing Mix, #7 Laughing

Wild Cards: #4 Alterite, #5 Lady of Shamrock, #10 Kitten’s Dumplings

Throw Outs: #8 Emollient, #9 Qushchi

Race 6: Filly and Mare Sprint (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #11 Groupie Doll, #12 Sweet Lulu

Exotic Plays: #2 Book Review, #5 Teddy’s Promise, #8 Dance to Bristol, #9 Judy the Beauty

Wild Cards: #4 Dance Card, #7 Summer Applause

Throw Outs: #1 Renee’s Titan, #3 Starship Truffles, #6 Ismene, #10 Great Hot

Race 7: Turf Sprint (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #4 Reneesgotzip, #12 Mizdirection, #14 Unbridled’s Note

Exotic Plays: #3 Chips All In, #5 Caracortado, #13 Dimension

Wild Cards: #1 Jeranimo, #6 Boat Trip, #9 Capo Bastone

Throw Outs: #2 Rock Me Baby, #7 Tightend Touchdown, #8 Handsome Mike, #10 Havelock, #11 Spring in the Sky

Race 8: Juvenile (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #6 Tap It Rich, #13 Havana, #14 Strong Mandate

Exotic Plays: #5 Bond Holder, #7 Cleburne, #12 Diamond Bachelor

Wild Cards: #3 Mexikoma, #4 New Year’s Day, #10 We Miss Artie

Throw Outs: #1 Smarty’s Echo, #2 Dance With Fate, #8 Conquest Titan, #9 Rum Point, #11 Medal Count

Race 9: Turf (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #7 The Fugue, #8 Point of Entry, #10 Big Blue Kitten, #11 Magician

Exotic Plays: #4 Little Mike, #9 Indy Point, #12 Real Solution

Wild Cards: #3 Twilight Eclipse

Throw Outs: #1 Vagabond Shoes, #2 Teaks North, #5 Skyring, #6 Tale of a Champion

Race 10: Sprint (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #7 Private Zone, #8 Fast Bullet, #9 Secret Circle

Exotic Plays: #1 Justin Phillip, #5 Sum of the Parts, #6 Bahamian Squall

Wild Cards: #3 Gentleman’s Bet, #11 Trinniberg

Throw Outs: #2 The Lumber Guy, #4 Majestic Stride, #10 Wine Police, #12 Laugh Track

Race 11: Mile (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #5 Olympic Glory, #8 Wise Dan

Exotic Plays: #1 No Jet Lag, #3 Silver Max

Wild Cards: #4 Obviously, #10 Za Approval

Throw Outs: #2 Silentio, #6 Bright Thought, #7 He Be Fire N Ice, #9 Cristoforo Colombo

Race 12: The Classic (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #6 Mucho Macho Man, #8 Palace Malice, #9 Game On Dude, #10 Will Take Charge

Exotic Plays: #7 Fort Larned,#11 Ron the Greek

Wild Cards: #2 Paynter, #5 Declaration of War

Throw Outs: #1 Last Gunfighter, #3 Planteur, #4 Moreno, #12 Flat Out banner-long1

Breeders Cup 2013: Friday Analysis

Beholder

Beholder Looks to Upset Royal Delta

Race 1: Allowance

Likely Winners: #4 Something Unusual, #5 Love de Car, #8 Pure Loyalty, #11 US Citizen

Exotic Plays: #3 Ankeny Hill, #6 Yankee Rebel, #10 Kochees

Wild Cards:#1 Rangi, #12 Omega Star

Throw Outs: #2 Cacau, #7 Pirate’s Pleasure, #9 He’s Had Enough

Race 2: Allowance

Likely Winners: #2 Got Even, #9 Cat Burglar, #13 Wild Dude

Exotic Plays: #6 Door’s Open, #7 Monument, #10 Raised a Secret

Wild Cards: #1 Gab Power, #3 Basmati, #4 Master Cip

Throw Outs: #5 Newfound Glory, #8 Kingpin Ryno, #11 Drover Crazy, #12 Heir the Storm

Race 3: Golden State Juvenile Fillies Stakes

Likely Winners: #2 Life Is a Joy, #7 Tamarando

Exotic Plays: #1 California Chrome, #4 Gangman Guy

Wild Cards: #6 Sir Barclay, #8 Cinmars Dance

Throw Outs: #3 Electric Eddie, #5 Tribal Mystic, #9 Better Bet

Race 4: Golden State Juvenile Stakes

Likely Winners: #2 Cal Gal, #7 Whatsallthedrama, #8 Stole a Kiss, #9 Moving Desert

Exotic Plays: #4 Meinertzhageni, #6 Harlington’s Rose

Wild Cards: #1 Smoove It, #10 Swiss Lake Yodeler

Throw Outs: #3 Rovenna, #5 Time for Angie

Race 5: Twilight Derby (Grade 2)

Likely Winners: #2 Charming Kitten, #10 Gervinho, #12 Gabriel Charles

Exotic Plays: #3 Den’s Legacy, #7 Kid Dreams, #11 Rising Legend

Wild Cards: #4 Dice Flavor, #5 Rookie Sensation, #6 Dry Summer, #13 Outside Nashville

Throw Outs: #1 Irish Stuff, #8 Avare, #9 Procurement

Race 6: Breeders Cup Marathon (Grade 2)

Likely Winners: #4 Ever Rider, #6 Indian Jones, #8 Blueskiesnrainbows

Exotic Plays: #7 London Bridge, #9 Pool Play

Wild Cards: #3 Commander, #10 Wordly

Throw Outs: #1 Old Time Hockey, #2 Cease, #5 Suns Out Guns Out

Race 7: Juvenile Turf (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #2 Giovanni Boldini, #4 Outstrip, #5 Bobby’s Kitten

Exotic Plays: #9 Wilshire Boulevard, #12 Shamshon, #13 Bashart

Wild Cards: #1 All Cash, #7 Aotearoa

Throw Outs: #3 Got Shades, #6 Home School, #8 Bon Accord, #10 Ontology, #11 Poker Player

Race 8: Dirt Mile (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #5 Fed Biz, #10 Verrazano, #12 Goldencents

Exotic Plays: #4 Brujo de Olleros, #8 Holy Lute, #9 Centralinteligence

Wild Cards: #1 Taptowne, #3 Hymn Book, #6 Broadway Empire, #13AE Easter Gift

Throw Outs: #2 Golden Ticket, #7 Alpha, #11 Pants On Fire

Race 9: Juvenile Fillies Turf (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #2 Al Thakhira, #4 Kitten Kaboodle, #5 Granny Mc’s Kitten, #6 Vorda, #12 Testa Rossi

Exotic Plays: #8 Chriselliam, #10 Clenor, #14 My Conquestadory

Wild Cards: #11 Ready to Act, #13 Sky Painter

Throw Outs: #1 Nesso, #3 Colonel Joan, #7 Street Sailing, #9 Dancing House

Race 10: Distaff (Grade 1)

Likely Winners: #4 Royal Delta, #5 Beholder, #6 Princess of Sylmar

Exotic Plays: #2 Authenticity

Wild Cards: NONE

Throw Outs: #1 Street Girl, #3 Closed Hatches

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Breeders Cup Predictions #6

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The Classic: Game On Dude – This is the final list before the real thing, and I’m still not wavering with Game On Dude.  His monster year is too hard to ignore.

The Distaff: Royal Delta – With Princess of Sylmar now for sure coming, things get very interesting.  Was Royal Delta not fully ready to run last time out, or was Princess of Sylmar just that good?

The Mile: Wise Dan – Would kind of like to bet against him, but I still feel too confident in him on the turf.  Will be interesting to asses his competition.

The Sprint: Secret Circle – After much debate within myself, I’ve decided to take a shot with Secret Circle.  He was great off a long layoff last time out, and might improve off that race.

The Filly and Mare Turf: Dank – So impressive on Arlington Million day!  Very confident in this ones chances.

The Turf: Big Blue Kitten – Even though he lost, I think this one is doing so well.  Thought he was much the best in the Hirsch, and know the mile and one-half will be to his liking.

The Juvenile Fillies: Untapable - Loved her win at Churchill last time out, and she definitely has room for improvement off that race.  Asmussen two-year olds have been dazzling this year.

The Juvenile: Strong Mandate – After jumping off the band wagon for a week, I’m back on it this week.  You have to think he’ll rebound from that poor effort last time out, and jockey Joel Rosario hopping aboard is a huge plus.

The Turf Sprint: Mizdirection – Defending champion will be tough to beat on the downhill turf course.  She’s never been beaten on that track.

The Filly and Mare Sprint: Book Review – She can compete with group with a top effort, and the favorites are worth a shot against in here.

The Dirt Mile: Verrazano – Now that his stable mate Graydar is heading towards the Classic, Verrazano looks tough in this spot.

The Juvenile Turf: Bobby’s Kitten – Super performance in his first Stakes try.  He was MUCH the best…feel really good about him.

The Juvenile Fillies Turf: Testa Rossi – Incredible last to first run in the Miss Grillo Stakes.  Chad Brown horses on the turf…can’t go wrong!

The Marathon: Blueskiesnrainbows – With Sky Kingdom not pre-entered, this race is a total mess.  We think Hollendorfer is worth a bet at what should be a big price.

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Breeders Cup Predictions #5

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The Classic: Game On Dude – Sticking with Game On Dude once again…although I’m starting to be intrigued by others.  Mucho Macho Man, Palace Malice, and Will Take Charge are definitely horses on my radar.

The Distaff: Royal Delta – Beginning to think this could be a two horse race between Beholder and Royal Delta, unless Princess of Sylmar shows up.  Right now I give Royal Delta a very small edge.

The Mile: Wise Dan – Would kind of like to bet against him, but I still feel too confident in him on the turf.  Will be interesting to asses his competition.

The Sprint: Fast Bullet – Once again sticking with Fast Bullet in this wide open event.  Love that he’ll be back at six furlongs, and his races at Santa Anita have been great.  Also love the recent workout.  Secret Circle is another horse that is on my radar…

The Filly and Mare Turf: Dank – So impressive on Arlington Million day!  Very confident in this ones chances.

The Turf: Big Blue Kitten – Even though he lost, I think this one is doing so well.  Thought he was much the best in the Hirsch, and know the mile and one-half will be to his liking.

The Juvenile Fillies: Untapable - Loved her win at Churchill last time out, and she definitely has room for improvement off that race.  Asmussen two-year olds have been dazzling this year.

The Juvenile: Strong Mandate – After jumping off the band wagon for a week, I’m back on it this week.  You have to think he’ll rebound from that poor effort last time out, and jockey Joel Rosario hopping aboard is a huge plus.

The Turf Sprint: Mizdirection – Defending champion will be tough to beat on the downhill turf course.  She’s never been beaten on that track.

The Filly and Mare Sprint: Reenesgotzip – Major challengers are lining up behind her in this one.  This could be one of the more exciting races of the entire event.

The Dirt Mile: Verrazano – Now that his stable mate Graydar is heading towards the Classic, Verrazano looks tough in this spot.

The Juvenile Turf: Bobby’s Kitten – Super performance in his first Stakes try.  He was MUCH the best…feel really good about him.

The Juvenile Fillies Turf: Testa Rossi – Incredible last to first run in the Miss Grillo Stakes.  Chad Brown horses on the turf…can’t go wrong!

The Marathon: Sky Kingdom – His win at Santa Anita over a distance of ground gives him an edge over the competition at this time.  Still, this is always a difficult race to handicap.

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Breeders Cup Predictions #4

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The Classic: Game On Dude – Another week with the big guy on top.  If he can show up with his “A” game it’s really tough to see anyone beating him.  The only dark cloud that looms large is his performance in this race last year.

The Distaff: Royal Delta – Bill Mott admitted that the champ wasn’t fully cranked up last time out.  She will be on Breeders Cup day.

The Mile: Wise Dan – So the big horse is human I guess…and maybe he’s not the “lock of the Breeders Cup” now.  I’m still sticking with him, as he’s still looked unbeatable on turf.

The Sprint: Fast Bullet - l was going to put Goldencents in this spot, but early this morning they announced he would run in the dirt mile. Still a wide open event!

The Filly and Mare Turf: Dank – So impressive on Arlington Million day!  Very confident in this ones chances.

The Turf: Big Blue Kitten – Even though he lost, I think this one is doing so well.  Thought he was much the best in the Hirsch, and know the mile and one-half will be to his liking.

The Juvenile Fillies: Untapable - Loved her win at Churchill last time out, and she definitely has room for improvement off that race.  Asmussen two-year olds have been dazzling this year.

The Juvenile: Honor Code – He looks like a horse that is going to love added distance.  Thought he was much the best in the Champagne, but will he be able to overcome what usually is a speed favoring track at Santa Anita?

The Turf Sprint: Mizdirection – Defending champion will be tough to beat on the downhill turf course.  She’s never been beaten on that track.

The Filly and Mare Sprint: Reenesgotzip – Major challengers are lining up behind her in this one.  This could be one of the more exciting races of the entire event.

The Dirt Mile: Graydar – He will be hard to bet against no matter where he enters.  Came back from the layoff better than ever; lets hope he lands in this spot!

The Juvenile Turf: Bobby’s Kitten – Super performance in his first Stakes try.  He was MUCH the best…feel really good about him.

The Juvenile Fillies Turf: Testa Rossi – Incredible last to first run in the Miss Grillo Stakes.  Chad Brown horses on the turf…can’t go wrong!

The Marathon: Sky Kingdom – His win at Santa Anita over a distance of ground gives him an edge over the competition at this time.  Still, this is always a difficult race to handicap.

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Breeders Cup Predictions #3

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The Classic: Game On Dude – The events of Super Saturday haven’t scared me away from him.  Mucho Macho Man and Ron the Greek ran impressive races, but both have had trouble putting together two peak efforts.

The Distaff: Royal Delta – Princess of Sylmar got the best of her Saturday, but I have a feeling Royal Delta will be a tuned up and ready to rock on Distaff day.  The loss could have helped our price!

The Mile: Wise Dan – Lock of the Breeders Cup!  Wise Dan is unbelievable right now.  We know that nobody in this country can even come close to him, so who the European’s bring will be his biggest challengers.

The Sprint: Fast Bullet – Saturday’s events didn’t clear anything up in this division.  Still a very wide open contest at this point.

The Filly and Mare Turf: Dank – So impressive on Arlington Million day!  Very confident in this ones chances.

The Turf: Big Blue Kitten – Even though he lost, I think this one is doing so well.  Thought he was much the best in the Hirsch, and know the mile and one-half will be to his liking.

The Juvenile Fillies: Untapable - Loved her win at Churchill last time out, and she definitely has room for improvement off that race.  Asmussen two-year olds have been dazzling this year.

The Juvenile: Strong Mandate – Certainly the number one candidate right now, but this group of two-year old males look to be strong.  We’ll find out more in the coming weeks.

The Turf Sprint: Mizdirection – Defending champion will be tough to beat on the downhill turf course.  She’s never been beaten on that track.

The Filly and Mare Sprint: Reenesgotzip – Major challengers are lining up behind her in this one.  This could be one of the more exciting races of the entire event.

The Dirt Mile: Graydar – He will be hard to bet against no matter where he enters.  Came back from the layoff better than ever; lets hope he lands in this spot!

The Juvenile Turf: Bashart – It doesn’t look like my first pick Boji Moon is pointing towards this one, so I’ll go with Bashart for now.  Likely to change…

The Juvenile Fillies Turf: Granny Mc’s Kitten – Really liked her races at Saratoga this summer.  The Euro shippers will have something to say in this race, but Granny Mc’s Kitten is pretty solid.

The Marathon: Sky Kingdom – His win at Santa Anita over a distance of ground gives him an edge over the competition at this time.  Still, this is always a difficult race to handicap.

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Breeders Cup Predictions #2

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The Classic: Game On Dude – What happened last year doesn’t scare me off Game On Dude as of yet.  He’ll probably be my pick on Breeders Cup day unless Palace Malice or Cross Traffic are super impressive in the Jockey Club Gold Cup.

The Distaff: Royal Delta – She basically is towering over this division, and unless Princess of Sylmar shows up I don’t think anyone can even challenge her.

The Mile: Wise Dan – Lock of the Breeders Cup!  Wise Dan is unbelievable right now.  We know that nobody in this country can even come close to him, so who the European’s bring will be his biggest challengers.

The Sprint: Fast Bullet – This is wide open, and will be a race you want to take a big price in.  Fast Bullet is the pick now, but likely will not be when the actual race is ran.

The Filly and Mare Turf: Dank – So impressive on Arlington Million day!  Very confident in this ones chances.

The Turf: Point of Entry – Can he make it back in time for the race, and will he be fit enough to win?  Big question marks, but he also has big time talent.

The Juvenile Fillies: Untapable - Loved her win at Churchill last time out, and she definitely has room for improvement off that race.  Asmussen two-year olds have been dazzling this year.

The Juvenile: Strong Mandate – Certainly the number one candidate right now, but this group of two-year old males look to be strong.  We’ll find out more in the coming weeks.

The Turf Sprint: Mizdirection – Defending champion will be tough to beat on the downhill turf course.  She’s never been beaten on that track.

The Filly and Mare Sprint: Reenesgotzip – Major challengers are lining up behind her in this one.  This could be one of the more exciting races of the entire event.

The Dirt Mile: Verrazano – He looks almost unbeatable at a mile.  The only concerning thing is he will not have a prep race before the Breeders Cup.

The Juvenile Turf: Bashart – It doesn’t look like my first pick Boji Moon is pointing towards this one, so I’ll go with Bashart for now.  Likely to change…

The Juvenile Fillies Turf: Granny Mc’s Kitten – Really liked her races at Saratoga this summer.  The Euro shippers will have something to say in this race, but Granny Mc’s Kitten is pretty solid.

The Marathon: Sky Kingdom – His win at Santa Anita over a distance of ground gives him an edge over the competition at this time.  Still, this is always a difficult race to handicap.

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Breeders Cup Predictions #1

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The Classic: Game On Dude – What happened last year doesn’t scare me off Game On Dude as of yet.  He’ll probably be my pick on Breeders Cup day unless Palace Malice or Cross Traffic are super impressive in the Jockey Club Gold Cup.

The Distaff: Royal Delta – She basically is towering over this division, and unless Princess of Sylmar shows up I don’t think anyone can even challenge her.

The Mile: Wise Dan – Lock of the Breeders Cup!  Wise Dan is unbelievable right now.  We know that nobody in this country can even come close to him, so who the European’s bring will be his biggest challengers.

The Sprint: Fast Bullet – This is wide open, and will be a race you want to take a big price in.  Fast Bullet is the pick now, but likely will not be when the actual race is ran.

The Filly and Mare Turf: Dank – So impressive on Arlington Million day!  Very confident in this ones chances.

The Turf: Point of Entry – Can he make it back in time for the race, and will he be fit enough to win?  Big question marks, but he also has big time talent.

The Juvenile Fillies: Untapable - Loved her win at Churchill last time out, and she definitely has room for improvement off that race.  Asmussen two-year olds have been dazzling this year.

The Juvenile: Strong Mandate – Certainly the number one candidate right now, but this group of two-year old males look to be strong.  We’ll find out more in the coming weeks.

The Turf Sprint: Mizdirection – Defending champion will be tough to beat on the downhill turf course.  She’s never been beaten on that track.

The Filly and Mare Sprint: Reenesgotzip – Major challengers are lining up behind her in this one.  This could be one of the more exciting races of the entire event.

The Dirt Mile: Verrazano – He looks almost unbeatable at a mile.  The only concerning thing is he will not have a prep race before the Breeders Cup.

The Juvenile Turf: Boji Moon – Who knows if they are even considering Boji Moon for this race, and to be honest I’m not even sure if he’s nominated.  But, if he does land here I give him a big time shot.

The Juvenile Fillies Turf: Granny Mc’s Kitten – Really liked her races at Saratoga this summer.  The Euro shippers will have something to say in this race, but Granny Mc’s Kitten is pretty solid.

The Marathon: Sky Kingdom – His win at Santa Anita over a distance of ground gives him an edge over the competition at this time.  Still, this is always a difficult race to handicap.

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Saturday Breeders Cup Analysis

Game On Dude Back to Claim Breeders Cup Classic

Race 1: Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Sprint Preview Stakes

Top 3 Selections:#1 Bares Tripper, #2 Switch to the Lead, #3 Truly Marie

Analysis: BARES TRIPPER looks smartly spotted in this one.  She’s kind of on the every other one schedule, and this is her race to run well in.  SWITCH TO THE LEAD has run in three Graded races since breaking her maiden without much luck, so she should love the class drop this time out.  TRULY MARIE has been running consistent speed figures, and is fast enough to make an impact.

Race 2: Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview Stakes

Top 3 Selections:#2 Upward Spiral, #9 Jump for Kitten, #12 Micro Margarita

Analysis: I’m not even going to pretend like I know what is going to happen here.  You have twelve two-year olds going down hill on the turf, who knows what will happen!  Just sit back and enjoy this one. Continue reading

Friday Breeders Cup Analysis

Royal Delta Looks for Back to Back Ladies Classic Victories

Race 1: Allowance

Top 3 Selections: #11 Quail Hill, #10 Dreamcatcher, #9 Swift Eagle

Analysis: I won’t  run down the full field for the non-breeders cup races, but I will provide my thoughts on my top three in the race.  QUAIL HILL has two solid second place efforts against similar company, and looks like the controlling speed in the race.  DREAMCATCHER has done his best running lately, and has the help of solid jockey Joel Rosario.  SWIFT EAGLE comes into this one as the hot horse, winning his last two races. Continue reading